Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Johnno on Sat Sep 19, 2009 11:28 am

Yes that middle junk has gone now allowing for clearer skies to come through should warm things up again abit in N winds the unstable air seems to be around Colac don't give up guys I think the fun is about to begin... Was never going to be a very active day but there will be something about the next 2 to 3 hours coming though

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  hillybilly on Sat Sep 19, 2009 11:32 am

Nice steady band of rain (all mid level stuff) - seems to have a bit of convection in it as the drop are very big at times.

There are two band of convection behind the rainband on the Viz sat pic. The winds show convergence between NE and W flow into this two bands which seem to mark the trough line. They should fire up quickly in the clear air behind the rain and be into Melbourne in 60-90 minutes. Worth having the camera ready just in case.

Up to about 2mm up here now.

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Greg Sorenson on Sat Sep 19, 2009 11:40 am

Am locked and loaded. Will be heading out shortly to get some foreground subject matter. Could make for some dramatic photography.
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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Johnno on Sat Sep 19, 2009 11:46 am

Dp's now up to 12c and 13c around Geelong and Avalon should all help with temps near 20c again

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Guest on Sat Sep 19, 2009 11:48 am

Rain cleared, lots of development to my west and south as well as some ACCAS floating about.

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  firestorm on Sat Sep 19, 2009 12:43 pm

got 0.2mm this morning from a little downpour and the sun came out and still is an its warm and rather humid outside. Looks to be a little squal line on my door step hoping for a rumble will soon see!

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  rikjpool on Sat Sep 19, 2009 1:06 pm

Well very nice, but very narrow, squall line coming through on radar. I think that might be "The one" that today brings though unfortuantly. ant see anything much else building. Still very overcast here, so not much room for stuff to grow...
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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Bobman on Sat Sep 19, 2009 1:39 pm

Hmm, look at the red and yellow bits on the radar, heading north-east over Geelong at the moment.

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Sat Sep 19, 2009 1:42 pm

Just had a moderate shower here but all focus to the west and south. Could be 5mm+ in this.

Get the cameras ready...
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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  I_Love_Storms on Sat Sep 19, 2009 1:51 pm

You beauty, hope it keeps intensifying!

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Sat Sep 19, 2009 1:54 pm

Should be a STW for the southern coastline at least and a nasty cell developing on the northwest portion of the convergence line, should provide Jane and Clyve a bit of viewing pleasure.

A couple of hours away but looks to peak at the right time for us here in Melbourne. We are diurnally lucky Wink
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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Twister on Sat Sep 19, 2009 1:55 pm

Unreal convection to my S SW Cells near Rosebud look unreal from here and becoming quite lightning active as well.

Some solid meaty cores forming in the line mostly around the heads of the bay line thickening nicely as well going be be very interesting in about 40 mins or so.

Looks great to S solid Cbs

Radar looking very nice

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Melbourne Skywalker on Sat Sep 19, 2009 1:57 pm

Crickey!! What a Face
I disappear for a while and come back to this approaching on the radar! Fingers crossed it doesn't slide south of here.

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Sniper on Sat Sep 19, 2009 1:57 pm

Quite lightning active at Point Lonsdale. Not much in the way of rainfall, even winds aren't too severe.
Things trying to develop here since about 3.30pm

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Sat Sep 19, 2009 1:57 pm

Yes and to think I was down in Frankston earlier!! I should have kept driving south.

Can see the tops of the showers and storms from here and they look good. Also some decent convection to my NE behind the Dandenongs.
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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:04 pm

I am sitting outside and can see the anvils from here to the south...a lot of high cloud about but there is plenty of convection and support for the cells. I swear the Pt Lonsdale cell has an overshooting roof...

Anyhow still a while off here in Melbourne but there is a lengthy clear slot coming over so this should help things!!!
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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  brayden on Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:10 pm

Hinezy's down on the mornington atm, catching up with Greg too. Yeah watching that cell on the northern part of the line. I'm in the dong this weekend, overcast with some showers/virga about. Not sure if anything will eventuate, though sat vis shows some cu development in clear air behind the high/mid level cloud band

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  hillybilly on Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:15 pm

That band is shaping up really nicely. It's running into nice warm humid air across the plains west of Melbourne with good convergence between northerlies and now southwesterlies behind the trough (the trough is sharpening up which with the developing band). Will be interesting to watch Avalon to give us a good idea of the intensity.

Should thicken up as it moves across and be into Melbourne's

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Melbourne Skywalker on Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:16 pm

I would consider my first ever chase today if I didn't have to stay home for a tradie. Love the look of the development on the north western end of that line.

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  I_Love_Storms on Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:16 pm

Doesn't look like avalon will get much....

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:18 pm

Should organise over the CBD and over the eastern suburbs more so. Still looking like 5mm or so about the place and possibly 10mm down in the southeast.
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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  typhoon29 on Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:19 pm

thunder!!!!!

starting to move in now the tail of this squall line. Quite warm and humid outside. Sun has a bite. Lovely Cb line. Thunder (i.e lightning) becoming more regular.

brewing beautifully!


Last edited by typhoon29 on Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:34 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  hillybilly on Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:19 pm

6C temperature drop and 4mm at Sheoaks under the band so a bit in it. Would expect it to fire up as soon as it hits the hills east of the city (starting about Kew).

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  James on Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:20 pm

well its looking good, fingers crossed for some good rain and thunder over this way....the air certainly has that moist storm smell and feel to it cheers

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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Sat Sep 19, 2009 2:22 pm

Could split up for a period over the western suburbs but should develop over the east again from where DJ speculates.

Hoping for a few mm as we go into tonight.

Good to hear the report of thunder from Ballarat. That region there will have the most severe weather about the place today. The southern storms are not half bad but fairly embedded but some good structure likely as signatures behind the early rainband suggested turbulence in the mid layers.
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Re: Victoria: Statewide Rain/Storm Event September 16th-19th 2009

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