Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  AmaroK on Fri Nov 20, 2009 8:03 am

Bout 34 here now too, very oppressive feeling out there now too. Good to see a few strike markers south of Nhill.

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  typhoon29 on Fri Nov 20, 2009 8:17 am

becoming unstable here, mammatus on the western horizon looks like some storms are begin to develop.

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  Rhino on Fri Nov 20, 2009 8:52 am

Lightning and dry grass don't mix so hope there's some rain in these storms, seem to be some decent strikes around and should only get worse as the day progresses.

Rhino. Smile Smile

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  rikjpool on Fri Nov 20, 2009 9:05 am

A couple of nice cells near Ballarat. I think most of these storms are going to be fairly high based, which unfourtuantly means not muc rain unless your under a core really... THe nature of these storms are going to be very sporadic and pulsy as well. Not much fun for chasing, but if you get lucky enough to get one watch out for some crazy pulsating cg's and firestarters... Stay Safe everyone... pale


Upto 37C's here atm, warmer now than it was at this time of the day yesterday...


Last edited by rikjpool on Fri Nov 20, 2009 9:14 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Added the temp...)

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  Petros on Fri Nov 20, 2009 9:09 am

Karl Lijnders wrote:From 2pm Lily and continuing into the evening. Off and on tomorrow but nothing spectacular at this time.

... and I fly in from Newcastle at 2:30!!! - thanks for the head-up Karl.

Might have an interesting drive back to Maffra later this arvo! (I hope). Smile

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  firestorm on Fri Nov 20, 2009 9:44 am

thunder an lightning here with a little burst of rain hopefully no fires started will know shortly. very warm til about 30min ago as cooled abit now with the West airflow

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  typhoon29 on Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:14 am

very windy and a few spits looks like a tidy cell inbound. Temp was around 35 now back down to 27. No thunder/lightning as yet.

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  DC449 on Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:28 am

Very hot outside, Will we see much lightning in the rain area that is making its way down to melbourne

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  rikjpool on Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:39 am

BE WARNED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Massive Dust strom just came through bendigo, visability down to 10meters with wind gusts of at least 60-70kph. Check the bendigo AWS in about ten min for actual speeds...

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  jmw2207 on Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:43 am

rikjpool wrote:BE WARNED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Massive Dust strom just came through bendigo, visability down to 10meters with wind gusts of at least 60-70kph. Check the bendigo AWS in about ten min for actual speeds...

Yeah we got that massive blow through just before (epsom)....like a truck went through. Dust and stuff everywhere.....

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  DarkEye on Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:48 am

We had high winds blow through here last night (not that they're an anomaly for this part of the state) and some rain with a little bit of thunder as well.

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  rikjpool on Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:53 am

Peaked at 87kph here at the hight of that... and im 1km west of the bendigo AWS, and it looked to be hammering along over there...

Edit: Temp has dropped here 8 Degrees....


Last edited by rikjpool on Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:59 am; edited 1 time in total

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  samueliza on Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:54 am

lots of dust in Flemington! WoW!!! Cooling down alot too!

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  Bobman on Fri Nov 20, 2009 10:58 am

Nice change about to head through Melbourne. Small temperature decrease in areas.

Windy and looks like some rain is approaching my place.

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  dagget on Fri Nov 20, 2009 11:27 am

Couple of rumbles in the CBD, gusty rain but not much on the ground as yet.

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  Guest on Fri Nov 20, 2009 11:38 am

Nice squally change hit about 20 minutes ago, lots of dust light rain and a few rumbles following it.

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  stormysky on Fri Nov 20, 2009 11:58 am

It must be rough out there, tree down over truck in the hillcrest area 1 person trapped. We reached 38.6 here and are yet to get the change

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  Mantis on Fri Nov 20, 2009 12:01 pm

Highest fall in SA has been 2mm so dont get too excited about rain

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  Twister on Fri Nov 20, 2009 12:11 pm

Yeah its still very dry out there have to wait for tonight for much of the rain to be hitting the ground, least tomorrow much of it will be reaching the ground.

Yeah was in shock that it got up to 38c across much of the city today but now much cooler at 23c and cloudy.

Had quite a bit of Thunder here but its SO dry that much of the rain is not hitting the ground same right across Vic and SA, might have to wait till tonight even tomorrow for the decent rain to start, seems such a waste as there a fair amount of rain around on radar.

Interesting 48 hours ahead looking forward to it

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  Stratospear on Fri Nov 20, 2009 1:32 pm

Starting to get steady light rain here. Cloud band is thickening up too.

00Z GFS still hanging in there with good rain totals, but mostly over western Vic. Meanwhile LAPs and MesoLAPs are the opposite... who to believe? Bureau think most of the rain will fall later tomorrow and continuing to midday Sunday. So suppose GFS might be right.

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  Karl Lijnders on Fri Nov 20, 2009 1:34 pm

The middle level deck is starting to thicken and rise and hence rainfall slowly increasing over central areas. Personally I cannot see the rain easing at all from this point, it may be slow and steady with the occasional heavy burst with thunder but seriously, no easing in conditions.

No wind here presently, tending offshore ahead of the thundery rainband.

Tomorrow looks quite humid and if the rain does clear then there will be an increased risk of thunderstorms so a win win situation.

90kmh winds here this afternoon dropped the temp, 10C in less than 10 minutes with areas of dust and reduced visibility.

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  firestorm on Fri Nov 20, 2009 1:44 pm

good steady rain here now!

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  Anthony Violi on Fri Nov 20, 2009 2:00 pm

Yes nice band of light rain just to moisten things up a bit for tomorrow....

Models are all sticking fat, with GFS going nuts again for tomorrow night. And the best news is that 00Z GFS gives us a bucketing Sunday and a repeat, almost identical set up for next Friday...the advantages of getting the warm air earlier...still cold to the south.


Last edited by Anthony Violi on Fri Nov 20, 2009 2:15 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  Sniper on Fri Nov 20, 2009 2:12 pm

Agree Anth, a handy drop at the moment. 00z going ballistic for the coming week.
Now to patiently wait for EC.

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  Stratospear on Fri Nov 20, 2009 2:21 pm

MJO pulse is moving into the "zone" (phase 5 & 6):
http://cawcr.gov.au/bmrc/clfor/cfstaff/matw/maproom/RMM/phase.Last40days.gif

Plus with a warm Bass Strait, the next week or two looks decidedly "normal" for spring...

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Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

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