Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Power Storm on Mon Aug 03, 2009 9:11 pm

I suspect it was a microburst too, because the road up from here were savagley hit by really strong winds last night and it is very evident from what I have seen, that a strong microburst occurred - trees everywhere, and fences thrown metres away from where they should be.

I think the far south could cop some locally heavy showers tomorrow morning in particular, chance of thunder, but more a risk for storms again on Thursday night from the west. Gale to storm force winds developing again too.

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Rivergirl on Mon Aug 03, 2009 9:26 pm

I went to bed just before it hit Ferny Creek at 1.45am as I love lying in bed listening to rain. I watched the radar on my iphone. There were very high winds up here and then suddenly the rain started, it sounded like it was blowing sideways and then there was an almighty roll of thunder, a noise like a freight train, I thought one of the large trees was coming down, then lightning lit up the room. Pretty amazing, a lot less rain recorded than you would think, maybe cause it all blew sideways.

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Sniper on Tue Aug 04, 2009 4:45 am

Typhoon, unfortunately that squall line you mentioned has stayed further south and will be affecting Flinders Island in the next few hours.

Not confident of much activity here today.

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Karl Lijnders on Tue Aug 04, 2009 5:08 am

Can see that line of showers moving up from the SW. Should see it here in Melbourne between 11-12 this morning. 2-5mm likely.

Otherwise we wait till Friday morning. Models still turbulent beyond Friday, hard to call but I would imagine a resurgence in the westerly.
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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Karl Lijnders on Tue Aug 04, 2009 6:49 am

US is increasing rainfall over southern and mountain VIC in it latest run. Fingers crossed it comes off.
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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  hillybilly on Tue Aug 04, 2009 7:42 am

Not looking that exciting today now. The band is pretty broken up so could easily find a gap.

Thursday into Friday is now holding interest. EC/JMA/GFS all have solid falls with that front and a rather sharp thermal trough (BTW wouldn't rule out a 20C on Thursday ahead of the front as we get strong warm air advection). EC has the change just before sunrise through central areas so seems to be slowing down.

Perhaps worth starting a new thread for next weekend/next week when it becomes clearer.

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Karl Lijnders on Tue Aug 04, 2009 7:54 am

I think even start a new one for Friday as that has the potential to be the strongest front of the year.

If we can luck 20mm Friday morning that would make it one of the most productive sequnces in years.
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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Karl Lijnders on Tue Aug 04, 2009 11:50 am

A very springlike drizzle here with light rain in it. Diurnal heating kicking these showers off. Looking wet for the east this afternoon.
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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  hillybilly on Tue Aug 04, 2009 12:08 pm

Has been drizzly in the CBD but only enough to dampen the footpath. About 0.1mm if I was to have a guess. Dewpoints are rather low away from the coast which will limit the totals, unfortunately.

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Madmel on Tue Aug 04, 2009 12:44 pm

Had to re format puter over weekend so I never got around to posting the most wicked hail shower in the early hours of the morning when that front pushed through...GOSH it was deafening!..heading up to Mt Buller this weekend so hopefull for some nice snowy experience in blizzard conditions most likely Very Happy

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Karl Lijnders on Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:40 pm

For low dew points, the drizzle has been pretty thick and non stop here
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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Dez on Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:43 pm

No rain here yet but I do see a bit of a line of showers coming our way.

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  AmaroK on Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:46 pm

Nice Line forming in the west now on the radar. Been trying to spit on on off for the last 2 hours here, but nothing much in the way of success, thing we could be in for a wet one tonight tho.
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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Guest on Tue Aug 04, 2009 1:55 pm

A fair amount of drizzle with some brief moderate showers during the past hour and a bit.
Showers are thickening up nicely in the bay with the Franskton/ Mornington area to do the best.

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  hillybilly on Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:01 pm

For low dew points, the drizzle has been pretty thick and non stop here

Is starting to moisten up - dewpoints up 3-4C across much of Melbourne in the last ~2 hours. Still totals are taking there time to add up (0.6mm is pretty slow for Dunns Hill in drizzle).

Band looks quite impressive now.

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  dagget on Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:47 pm

Bet this front goes right below us once again, reckon we will miss this lot of rain again... Crying or Very sad

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Blackie on Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:51 pm

So it is....

Drenching showers in Sth Melbourne now for 30 mins.. Rolling Eyes


Last edited by Blackie on Tue Aug 04, 2009 3:03 pm; edited 1 time in total

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  hillybilly on Tue Aug 04, 2009 2:54 pm

Today's Tuesday Razz

BTW nice shower moving through the CBD.

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Twister on Tue Aug 04, 2009 3:09 pm

Few nice heavy showers up to 2mm here

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Karl Lijnders on Tue Aug 04, 2009 3:23 pm

Really solid rainfall around the region the last hour. I have had 5.8mm here and it is still coming down hard. I think areas to the south of me, literally 1-2km, have had closer to 8-9mm.

Still a bit to get through, so some suprises for some of us out of this system.

Nice to have another win!!!
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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Anthony Violi on Tue Aug 04, 2009 3:29 pm

Yeah hard to tell whats going on..in fact how come its raining? I thought it doesnt rain anymore??? Someone keeps putting water in my gauge, at least 200mm in recent times. Bizzaro world..
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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  hillybilly on Tue Aug 04, 2009 3:37 pm

Would seem we have jumped to spring. Yet another "thundery" type change with a real kick from afternoon heating.

Some really heavy showers in the band just clearing the CBD which could well see the totals in the eastern burbs locally top 10mm - was expecting more like 2mm (and to tell the truth half expected to record less than 1mm in Ferny Creek).

Is nice to be surprised by rain - though let's not get to carried away - most of central Vic is still running on (about) decile 1 for the year to date. Bit of a miss for the models...

PS The system for Thursday/Friday is still looking promising.

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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Karl Lijnders on Tue Aug 04, 2009 3:45 pm

Really thumping down again!!! It is a stunning system!

Anth, looks like maybe some local thunder heading your way. I heard a clap out to the SE earlier and thought it was a CG but hard to tell as I wasn't looking in that immediate direction. Def to my SE though. David out there in Endeavour Hills??

8.8mm here now and rising steadily.

I have noticed after being informed by John that EC has now resolved into a second wave of westerly winds for the next week which is the best outcome in this given environment. Every front that comes through at this time judging by todays has a chance of being invigorated by the diurnal heating.

Friday looks super wild, especially early on and would advice parking cars away from trees where possible!!!
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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Leasy on Tue Aug 04, 2009 3:51 pm

Thanks for the tip Karl! Will definitely keep the car away from trees!

Getting really dark to the south of me, and heading my way - looks like it's going to drop it's guts over me - certainly not expecting this! Very Happy
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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

Post  Luken on Tue Aug 04, 2009 3:57 pm

It is a nice, drop. I am up to close to what Karl has had at about 7mm so far. Looking at the forcast I expected the 1.5mm we had early afternoon to be a good result. Didn't expect this nice band which has set in for the last 1/2 - 3/4hr.

I have actually benn plesently surprised over the last few days. I was away for a couple of weeks and got back Saturday. But since then the forecasts and models have indicated not much, where in fact I had had probably 20mm since Sat. Which is way more than I expected. Very nice indeed.
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Re: Victoria: Traditional Winter Westerly #1. July 25th - August 5th 2009.

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