Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Tue Aug 11, 2009 8:14 am

Fairly heavy showers here.

I think any storms that develop will be more lightning active than anything. They will be originating from the mid levels, so rainfall will not be huge, but if enough develop as they decay they could form an OK rainband.
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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Johnno on Tue Aug 11, 2009 8:50 am

Yep had it in my forecast last week there be chance of storms today in my Melbourne forecasts won't be anything major but the atmosphere now is unstablke enough for something to develop mainly N and E of Melbourne like BOm are saying now

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  hillybilly on Tue Aug 11, 2009 8:55 am

For those with access to the sounding for Melbourne this shows a classic tropapause dip which indicates this low is fully occluded. It would also suggest that we had a warm frontal feature through Vic yesterday.

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Malleefarmer on Tue Aug 11, 2009 9:06 am

What'sa the chance of some convection up here today? Has that feel to it.

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  SC on Tue Aug 11, 2009 9:54 am

Only had 1.5mm over the last couple of days. With next band of rain would really like another 4-5mm, only because I put some more natives in the ground.

I thought I'd get'em in now so they can set there roots before another gruelling hot summer.
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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Dane on Tue Aug 11, 2009 10:20 am

Tracker starting to pick up a few strikes to the north, if it was warmer it would be going off. Only 11c here. 0.5mm's since 9am.

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Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Hinezy on Tue Aug 11, 2009 10:29 am

Nice convection going up towards the NE of Melbourne at the moment! Must be an indication of how much the temperature is increasing once the mid-level cloud clears. The obs from up around that area are a good 4-5c warmer than they are in the city at the moment, so if we can get some clearance for a while this afternoon we may be in with a decent shot of a storm or two once the temps warm up! If something gets going some of these tops could actually reach a semi decent height too with a bit of heating.

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Tue Aug 11, 2009 11:02 am

Should see a line of storms develop over the eastern highlands, possibly thundersnow over the alps. This should spread southwest and be around Melbourne between 3-5pm.
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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th

Post  Scott Lawrance on Tue Aug 11, 2009 11:04 am

Good to see Yea getting a bit by the looks of the radar right now!

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  SC on Tue Aug 11, 2009 11:36 am

That line should hit Melbourne round 3.30pm. Hopefully we might see some action.

DP slowly risen to 9.6C here. Temp up to 13.8C. Come on baby.
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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Madmel on Tue Aug 11, 2009 11:51 am

Just had a look at the radar atm..seems the little sunshine is helping those storms out near teh Yarra Ranges. Sunny here atm so who knows what will happen later in the arvo Very Happy

Scored only about 1.7mm so far, wishing the rain had more guts in it Laughing

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Luken on Tue Aug 11, 2009 11:56 am

Just got back in the office and it is warm out there! Was driving around thinking how warm it was and that it looked and felt like to T/S might be around. And sure enough there they are! Hope that sun stays out for a bit longer.
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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Luken on Tue Aug 11, 2009 12:47 pm

Edging closer and getting very dark to my N/NE. Hopefully it builds on the back edge, or we get a clear slot after to allow more cells to fire!
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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  dagget on Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:00 pm

Truely amazing sight to watch this line approach Melb from the NE... (I am in the CBD today on the 33rd floor having a should have bought my camera in to work today moment).

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Madmel on Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:01 pm

Getting dark here as that line looms over...looks some massive dumpage in it

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Melbourne Skywalker on Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:01 pm

It's as black as a dogs guts here in Sunshine, about to hit any minute here

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  tizza on Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:03 pm

It's very dark here too, the heavens are about to open, I've had to turn on a light. It's dead calm too
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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Blackie on Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:04 pm

yeah lovely greenage happening out there ATM...very ominous

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Madmel on Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:10 pm

WHoo Hoo!! hearing rumbles Very Happy

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  AmaroK on Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:12 pm

Wow, just got my first chance to even look out the window today. EVIL is one word to describe it. Is it normal, for the system to be moving in this direction at this time of year?
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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  tizza on Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:12 pm

massive mamutus preceding the rain, I hadn't looked, pelting here now with hail. Where's the light show? It looks like a massive summer storm, structure wise. Could be an awesome arvo!!
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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Melbourne Skywalker on Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:17 pm

City looks like it's about to be slammed going by the radar, only the odd drop here but wow it looks amazing outside. It's looks like 6pm, very very black.

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  tizza on Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:24 pm

The low is forming nicely just to the north of Melbourne, and swirling up a decent looking radar, it's also back building which is nice, still raining here with mixed hail, it's switching from light to heavy very quickly. I just keep expecting a flang. It's great to get some action from the NE. Temp has dropped 4c to 12.5c RH and DP's are rising here
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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  dagget on Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:25 pm

Well it looked alot better than it was but cannot complain, and indeed there was some hail but little pea sized pieces that did not last long, light rain now and it is starting to clear up.

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

Post  Melbourne Skywalker on Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:28 pm

Raining steady here now & getting heavier

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Re: Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

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