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Victoria: Significant Cold Outbreak - September 25th-29th 2009

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Post  droughtbreaker Sat Sep 26, 2009 11:08 am

Disappointing here so far. Fine and sunny with temperature 9c and well on it's way to double figures. We have had quite a few very brief light showers this morning but most of the time it has been sunny. Frustrating with a field of widespread showers right over us all morning but missing most of them by a couple of km. I know the 'main event' is still to come but IMO it looks very patchy and not coming in with any real authority at all. I was expecting signs of more vigorous showers coming in. Could be a big disappointment away from the coasts today.

You mean 60mm since the 22nd Dagget and 34mm for this current system?

We've had 47.7mm here since the 22nd and 79.1mm for the month.

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Post  Bobman Sat Sep 26, 2009 11:21 am

Very patchy light rain has just started here. First time today.

How often can we spruce about beating average monthly records? Yeah baby!

Melbourne City rainfall records:
September 2009 Total 60.6mm 12 day(s)
September 1855-2008 Average Total 57.9mm 14.7 day(s)

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Post  floydlove Sat Sep 26, 2009 11:23 am

Brief showers here with small hail already, showers on the increase. Smile

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Post  Karl Lijnders Sat Sep 26, 2009 11:27 am

Very very dark and thundery to the south and west.
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Post  Johnno Sat Sep 26, 2009 11:29 am

Bobman wrote:Very patchy light rain has just started here. First time today.

How often can we spruce about beating average monthly records? Yeah baby!

Melbourne City rainfall records:
September 2009 Total 60.6mm 12 day(s)
September 1855-2008 Average Total 57.9mm 14.7 day(s)

December 2008 was the last time this happend

GOOOOOOOOOOO SAINTSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!

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Post  Bobman Sat Sep 26, 2009 11:43 am

Nice. Just had some hail fall here. Haven't seen it in a while.

Indeed, hope the Saints win too!

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Post  SC Sat Sep 26, 2009 11:49 am

Absolutely pelting down here with tiny hail in the mix. Temp has dropped 3C in as many minutes.
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Post  James Sat Sep 26, 2009 11:59 am

quite a bit of static on the radio indicating thunder around....

about to pour here, dark clouds looming

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Post  James Sat Sep 26, 2009 12:22 pm

i take that back, it all missed here, nothing but a few drops grr, thunder was towards berwick i think but has gone

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Post  Power Storm Sat Sep 26, 2009 12:24 pm

Very heavy showers have intruded their way through here since my last post at about 9.30am. More mm into the gauge, and we even had some thunder!!!!! bounce Radar looks fantastic atm, with a bit of lightning mixed into the lot. Some moderate to heavy rain developing too across the south...

I am with you John... GO SAINTS!! lol!

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Post  Australis(Shell3155) Sat Sep 26, 2009 12:51 pm

black as the ace of spades to the west of here.. 2.5mm for the day.
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Post  Karl Lijnders Sat Sep 26, 2009 1:09 pm

5.4mm so far. Belting down before. Next line visible to the west and south. Had heavy hail on the wind change and gusts to 45kts too.
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Post  droughtbreaker Sat Sep 26, 2009 1:09 pm

Have to say today has ended up much less active than the models were expecting, although GFS did downgrade early today. I think EC was on to it though that we wouldn't get the rain areas and widespread heavy showers that most of us were anticipating.

What we have today is just your standard unstable cold pool airmass with heaps of showers around like we often get in winter in vigorous southerlies but nothing noteworthy whatsoever.

Hovering between 6C and 7C, gloomy and overcast for much of the time but showers are constantly dodging here. Only expecting another mm or two here for the rest of the weekend. Grand Final should dodge too much bad weather, just a few showers for the remainder of the match, could be heavy of course.

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Post  Madmel Sat Sep 26, 2009 2:04 pm

Been doom and gloom since about 1.30 this arvo. Heavy dumpage before and just recvieved a light hail dump. Puddles everywhere and not game enough to step outside without sinking into the mud LOL

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Post  damiantheomen Sat Sep 26, 2009 2:05 pm

bit dissapointed with the RF totals considering how good the radar looks or maybe they are too busy to update cause they are watching the grand final Razz
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Post  Australis(Shell3155) Sat Sep 26, 2009 2:28 pm

5mm. Go Pies.. opps ! - I mean Saints.
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Post  dagget Sat Sep 26, 2009 2:31 pm

droughtbreaker wrote:

You mean 60mm since the 22nd Dagget and 34mm for this current system?

We've had 47.7mm here since the 22nd and 79.1mm for the month.

Thats right, getting a bit confused with all the rain so far no up to 64mm since the 22nd

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Post  Mantis Sat Sep 26, 2009 4:01 pm

Horsham has just edged up above the ave rainfall for the year to date. Happy here

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Post  hillybilly Sat Sep 26, 2009 4:21 pm

Great arvo up here. Had frequent rain, hail and graupel showers with 8mm so far (80mm for the week!). Got a couple of rolls of thunder and banks of fog. Was up at Olinda when the wind change came through - hailed solid for nearly 10 minutes and had to sit it out at the side of the road (will upload photos).

Just back from Olinda and it was snowing in the last shower - about 90% hail and about 10% big wet flakes - would guess a temperature just below 4C. Pretty marginal temperatures for snow but should see a bit more overnight provided the showers are heavy enough.

Reckon we will get another 30mm at least before it clear Monday AM. Creeks up here are running very well but well short of flooding.

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Post  Karl Lijnders Sat Sep 26, 2009 4:41 pm

13.6mm down the hill with 6 hail showers, thunder and squally winds.

Showers should increase tonight... Nearly 100mm for the week
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Post  hillybilly Sat Sep 26, 2009 4:54 pm

Couple of photos from Olinda.
Victoria: Significant Cold Outbreak - September 25th-29th 2009 - Page 7 10521_162309289251_626609251_3558126_3761962_n
Victoria: Significant Cold Outbreak - September 25th-29th 2009 - Page 7 10521_162309294251_626609251_3558127_3080550_n

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Post  Greg Sorenson Sat Sep 26, 2009 4:59 pm

Hinzey earlier on during the 3rd qtr let me know that there was about 20cm of snow at Donna Buang.

Well done to the Cats, after being so strong for 3 years deserve at least 2. Small forwards for the Saints cost them dearly, gotta take ya chances.
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Post  droughtbreaker Sat Sep 26, 2009 5:13 pm

I find it absolutely remarkable that a SW wind basically means no rain for my area, literally. Rolling Eyes

Of course it is well known that we do poorly here with SW airflow but in recent years it has got so bad that you can pretty much write off any recordable rain whatsoever if the wind is from that direction. It is so bad here in SW winds that I'd rate it only behind NWs in summer in terms of associated dry weather.

I may have a warped memory of things but I'm pretty certain we used to at least get some sort of decent rainfall if there was a strong and dynamic system (strong low pressure nearby etc.) even if the airflow was W/SW or straight SW. It would be several times less than what the eastern suburbs of Melbourne and the hills east of Melbourne got sure but we would always get at least a few really good showers. We are looking at a very dry weekend here, could be lucky to pick up a few mm by the end of it and that all means no snow on Mount Macedon at all.

Very frustrating, sometimes it is a very frustrating business being interested in the weather. Crying or Very sad

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Post  droughtbreaker Sat Sep 26, 2009 5:21 pm

Haha, that's funny. As soon as I post that we get a moderate intensity shower and the temperature plummets to 3C, down 2C in about 5 minutes and that definitely means snow at the top of Mount Macedon. Still it is the first decent shower we've had all day. Rolling Eyes

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Post  Power Storm Sat Sep 26, 2009 6:08 pm

Plent of heavy showers here this afternoon, continuing this evening. I was locking in the cows tonight and bamn, hail shower, some of it hurt too, though lucky I was smart enough to wear a coat... Laughing ...

Expect scattered showers to continue through southern regions of Victoria tonight, with isolated showers extending north of the Divide. The activity should persist for most of the night, and as the southwesterly airflow will continue to bring scattered showers tomorrow, but mostly for the southern parts, near the coast etc... Isolated cold-air thunderstorms continue to be possible through the south overnight.

BTW, VERY windy here right now.... Very Happy

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