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Post  AUSSKY Mon Sep 14, 2009 8:28 am

Clyve's central ranges outlook for the coming week

14th - 20th September 2009

OVERVIEW: A high pressure area moves into Victoria today (Monday) with settled weather, fine Tuesday after a frosty morning. A trough and cold front approaches Wednesday with increasing cloud and wind then showers/rain and a risk of a storm later Wednesday and overnight into Thursday. A high pressure ridge moves across Victoria later Thursday and into Friday before another trough and cold front for Saturday and Sunday with more showers.

RAIN POTENTIAL: Rainfall between 10 and 20mm a possibility from Wednesday to later Thursday, another 5 to 10mm for next weekend.

FROST POTENTIAL: Severe frosts a risk Tuesday morning. Frost also a risk Friday/Saturday mornings.

SNOW POTENTIAL: Sleet a risk with small  hail Thursday.

DAILY  WEATHER EXPECTATIONS

MONDAY 14/9/09: Fine and sunny after early frost, light southwest winds tending variable. MIN TEMPS 0 to +3°C MAX TEMPS 12 to 15°C

TUESDAY 15/9/09: Frosty early then sunny periods, light winds tending northerly and freshening later. MIN TEMPS -3 to 0°C MAX TEMPS 14 to 17°C

WEDNESDAY 16/9/09: Strengthening north winds, increasing cloud, showers later and a risk of a storm, showers may tend to rain overnight into early Thursday. A colder westerly change overnight. MIN TEMPS 3 to 5°C MAX TEMPS 16 to 18°C.

THURSDAY 17/9/09: Cold and showery with fresh and gusty southwest or west winds, a few sunny intervals, chance of hail and sleet. MIN TEMPS 1 to 4°C MAX TEMPS 8 to 12°C

FRIDAY 18/9/09: Drizzle/mist or showers mainly southern slopes and ridges, local frost patches mainly more northern areas early, longer sunny spells developing through the day, southwest winds becoming lighter later.

SATURDAY 19/9/09: Cold morning then sunny breaks, increasing cloud through the day with showers later and a risk of thunder, freshening northeast or north winds. MIN TEMPS 2 to 5°C MAX TEMPS 14 to 17°C.

SUNDAY 20/9/09: Cloudy with showers and hill mist, fresh northerly winds shifting west or southwesterly through the day, a few sunny breaks mainly later. MIN TEMPS 5 to 7°C MAX TEMPS 13 to 15°C
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Post  Power Storm Mon Sep 14, 2009 4:43 pm

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 6:45pm

Monday Evening: Partly cloudy with a shower or two clearing. Light to moderate westerly winds.
Precis: Shower or two clearing.

Tuesday: Morning frost and possible fog, then a sunny day with light northwesterly winds. Min 3 Max 18
Precis: Fog/frost then fine.

Outlook:
Wednesday: Rain developing. Chance thunderstorms. Strengthening NW wind. Min 7 Max 23
Thursday: Rain then few showers. Chance morning thunderstorm. Strong morning SW change. Min 11 Max 17
Friday: Morning drizzle. Light to moderate NW wind. Min 6 Max 19
Saturday: Fine. Freshening NW wind. Min 9 Max 22
Sunday: Mainly fine. Fresh to strong WSW wind. Min 11 Max 17
Monday: Mainly fine. Moderate SW wind. Min 6 Max 17
Tuesday: Fine. Light S wind. Min 3 Max 17

Next Update: Tuesday, 7:00pm

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Post  Johnno Mon Sep 14, 2009 5:03 pm

Tonight: Fine. Becoming clear later. Light winds. Min 6c.

Tuesday: Fine & sunny. Early morning frost patches in the outer suburbs. Light N winds and afternoon seabreezes. Max 20c.

Wednesday: Fine and Sunny. Cloud increasing later. Northerly Wind freshening becoming strong later. Min 9 Max 24c.

Thursday: Morning rain easing to a few showers. Chance of storm in the morning. Fresh N winds tending South westerly early. Min 13 Max 17c.

Friday: Becoming fine. Morning cloud clearing. Light winds generally & afternoon seabreezes. Min 8 Max 19c.

Saturday: Fine. Moderate NW winds. Min 11 Max 24c.

Sunday: Showers developing. Moderate NW winds tending SW. Min 13 Max 19c.

Monday: Shower or two. Fresh WSW winds. Min 9 Max 17c.




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Post  Johnno Tue Sep 15, 2009 8:49 am

Tuesday: Fine & Sunny. Chiefly light N winds and afternoon seabreezes. Max 20c.

Wednesday: Fine and Sunny. Cloud increasing later. few spots of rain at night. Northerly Wind freshening becoming strong later. Min 9 Max 24c.

Thursday: Morning rain easing to a few showers. Chance of storm in the morning. Fresh N winds tending South westerly early. Min 13 Max 17c.

Friday: Becoming fine. Early morning cloud clearing. Light winds Chiefly North Westerly & afternoon seabreezes. Min 8 Max 20c.

Saturday: Fine. Moderate W winds tending Southerly during the afternoon. Min 11 Max 20c.

Sunday: Showers developing later or at night. Fresh to strong NNW winds. Min 13 Max 23c.

Monday: Few showers. Fresh to strong WSW winds. Min 9 Max 17c.



Next Update this evening.

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Post  Johnno Tue Sep 15, 2009 3:28 pm

Tonight: Fine generally clear. Light winds tending Northerly throughout. Min 8c.

Wednesday: Fine and Sunny. Cloud increasing later. Little patchy rain at night. Northerly Wind freshening becoming strong later. Max 24c.

Thursday: Morning rain easing to a few showers. Chance of storm in the morning. Fresh N winds tending South westerly early. Min 13 Max 17c.

Friday: Becoming fine. Early morning cloud/fog patches clearing. Light winds Chiefly North Westerly & afternoon seabreezes. Min 8 Max 20c.

Saturday: Chance of a morning shower then fine Moderate W winds tending SW to Southerly during the afternoon. Min 9 Max 19c.

Sunday: Fine. Light winds tending northerly later & afternoon seabreezes. Min 7 Max 20c.

Monday: Rain at times easing. Risk of storm. Fresh N winds tending W later. Min 14 Max 20c.

Tuesday: Showers developing later. Strong NW winds tending colder SW. Min 10 Max 19c



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Post  Karl Lijnders Tue Sep 15, 2009 3:46 pm

Melbourne:

Tuesday Evening: Fine and becoming colder in the outer suburbs. Light winds.

Wednesday: Fine. Cloud increasing later. Strong northerly winds developing. 27C

Thursday: A few showers easing. 18C
Friday: Fine 20C
Saturday: A shower or two. 19C
Sunday: A shower or two increasing later. 22C
Monday: Showers. 18C
Tuesday: Showers. 16C
Wednesday: Showers 15C
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Post  Power Storm Tue Sep 15, 2009 3:54 pm

Quite interesting late in the period, I am not sure for Wednesday on my forecast.

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 5:54pm

Tuesday Evening: Fine and mostly clear with light northwesterly winds.
Precis: Fine.

Wednesday: Cloud increasing during the day with a little rain developing during the afternoon, but becoming more persistent at night. The chance of a thunderstorm or two during the afternoon and at night. Northwesterly winds strengthening to become locally strong. Min 7 Max 23
Precis: Cloud increasing. A little rain developing.

Outlook:
Thursday: Morning rain then shower or two. Risk morning thunderstorm. Strong SW morning change. Min 11 Max 16
Friday: Morning cloud/drizzle. Light to moderate NW wind. Min 6 Max 19
Saturday: Risk late shower. Moderate to fresh W wind. Min 9 Max 19
Sunday: Fine. Morning cloud. Light wind tending NNW. Min 6 Max 20
Monday: Risk afternoon/evening shower or thunderstorm. Moderate to fresh NNW wind. Min 11 Max 21
Tuesday: Rain and possible thunderstorm developing. Strong NW wind, shifting SW late. Min 13 Max 19
Wednesday: Early rain/thunderstorm, then showers. Strong SW winds. Min 8 Max 17

Next Update: Wednesday, 7:00pm

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Post  droughtbreaker Tue Sep 15, 2009 7:09 pm

Bored, so I'll put in a forecast for my place.

Tomorrow. Fine and dry, moderate to fresh NW winds developing. Cloud increasing very late with a little rain developing, increasing overnight.
Min 4C Max 22C

Thursday: Early rain clearing then fine, fresh and gusty SW winds easing later. Min 8C Max 14C
Friday: Fine, risk of early morning frost. Light NW winds. Min 2C Max 16C
Saturday: Risk of a shower but mostly fine. Moderate to fresh NW winds turning W/SW in the morning Min 5C Max 17C
Sunday: Fine, light winds. Min 2C Max 17C
Monday: Showers developing. Min 8C Max 19C
Tuesday: Showers, possible thunderstorm. Min 12C Max 22C

Beyond that: Cooler and showery.

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Post  Johnno Wed Sep 16, 2009 9:12 am

Wednesday: Fine and Sunny. Cloud increasing later. Little patchy rain at night. Northerly Winds Moderate to fresh becoming locally strong later. Max 24c.

Thursday: Patchy rain clearing by early evening. Moderate to Fresh N winds tending South Westerly by lunchtime and Southerly later before becoming light at night. Min 13 Max 17c.

Friday: Becoming fine. Early morning cloud/fog patches clearing. Light winds & afternoon seabreezes. Min 8 Max 19c.

Saturday: Chance of a shower clearing later. Moderate WNW winds tending SW to Southerly during the afternoon. Min 9 Max 20c.

Sunday: Fine. Early fog patches possible in outer suburbs. Light winds tending NE to N at night & afternoon seabreezes. Min 7 Max 19c.

Monday: Rain at times easing. Slight risk of storm. Fresh N winds tending WNW later. Min 14 Max 19c.

Tuesday: Few showers increasing later. Possible storm. Strong NW winds tending colder WSW. Min 10 Max 19c.



Next Update this evening.

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Post  Power Storm Wed Sep 16, 2009 9:44 am

You will have to excuse my forecast above, Tuesday is meant to be for Monday... lol, and Monday is meant to be for Sunday. I have my days messed up, I will fix it tonight.

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Post  Power Storm Wed Sep 16, 2009 4:35 pm

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 6:35pm

Wednesday Evening: Cloudy with a little rain this evening, increasing tonight. Locally fresh to strong northwest winds ahead of a south to southwesterly change overnight.
Precis: Rain increasing.

Thursday: A mostly cloudy day with morning rain periods easing to a shower or two during the afternoon. Moderate to fresh southerly winds. Min 11 Max 16
Precis: Rain then shower or two.

Outlook:
Friday: Morning shower or two. Light to moderate NW wind. Min 6 Max 18
Saturday: Risk local shower. Moderate W wind. Min 8 Max 19
Sunday: Morning cloud/drizzle. Light NW wind. Min 7 Max 20
Monday: Rain and possible thunderstorms developing. Strengthening NW wind. Min 8 Max 22
Tuesday: Few showers. Possible afternoon thunderstorms. NW wind. Min 13 Max 19
Wednesday: Few showers. Possible afternoon thunderstorms. Windy. Min 12 Max 19
Thursday: Mainly fine. Windy. Min 10 Max 17

Next Update: Thursday, 7:00pm

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Post  Johnno Wed Sep 16, 2009 4:41 pm

Tonight: Cloudy few spots of rain later. Moderate to fresh N winds. Min 15c.

Thursday: Patchy rain clearing by early evening. Moderate to Fresh N winds tending South Westerly by lunchtime and Southerly later before becoming light at night. Max 18c.

Friday: Becoming fine. Early morning cloud/fog patches clearing. Light winds & afternoon seabreezes. Min 10 Max 19c.

Saturday: Chance of a shower clearing later. Moderate WNW winds tending SW to Southerly during the afternoon. Min 9 Max 20c.

Sunday: Fine. Early fog patches possible in outer suburbs. Light winds tending NE to N at night & afternoon seabreezes. Min 7 Max 19c.

Monday: Some rain at times easing. Slight risk of storm. Fresh to strong N winds tending WNW later. Min 14 Max 19c.

Tuesday: Few showers increasing later. Possible storm. Strong NW winds tending colder WSW. Min 10 Max 19c.

Wednesday: Few showers. Min 9 Max 17c.




Early forecast for Grandfinal day: Morning shower then Fine. Max 18c.

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Post  Karl Lijnders Wed Sep 16, 2009 5:31 pm

Melbourne:

Wednesday: A little rain developing after 11pm. Northerly winds.

Thursday: Areas of rain easing to a shower or two later. Northerly winds shifting lighter westerly. 18C

Friday: Fine. 21C
Saturday: Few showers with the chance of a thunderstorm developing 20C
Sunday: Few showers clearing. 19C
Monday: Cloud increasing. Showers and thunderstorms developing later. 22C
Tuesday: Showers. 18C
Wednesday: Showers 17C
Thursday: Showers. 18C

Grand Final Day: Showers increasing. Cool
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Post  Johnno Thu Sep 17, 2009 6:36 am

Thursday: Little rain developing becoming bit more persistant in the afternoon then clearing early evening. Moderate to Fresh N winds becoming lighter tending SSW in the afternoon. (Sticking my neck out 6mm rain here, 6mm CBD, 10mm most of the Melbourne catchments)

Friday: Morning cloud clearing to a fine and sunny afternoon. Light winds & afternoon seanbreezes. Min 11 Max 18c.

Saturday: Shower or two developing. Moderate WNW winds tending SW to S during the afternoon. Min 9 Max 20c.

Sunday: Mostly Fine. Generally Light winds & afternoon seabreezes. Min 7 Max 19c.

Monday: Some rain developing. Slight risk of storm. Fresh to strong NNE winds Shifting WNW at night. Min 12 Max 20c.

Tuesday: Few showers increasing later. Possible storm. Strong NW winds tending colder WSW. Min 10 Max 19c.

Wednesday: Few showers. Fresh to strong W winds. Min 9 Max 17c.




Early forecast for Grandfinal day: Morning shower then Fine. Max 17c.
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Post  Power Storm Thu Sep 17, 2009 7:11 am

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 9:12am

Remainder of Thursday: Mostly cloudy with rain periods easing to a shower or two during the afternoon and clearing at night. Moderate southerly winds. Max 15
Precis: Rain then shower or two.

Friday: A fine and mostly sunny day with light to moderate northwesterly winds. Min 6 Max 18
Precis: Fine, sunny.

Outlook:
Saturday: Risk shower/thunderstorm. Moderate WNW wind. Min 8 Max 19
Sunday: Morning cloud/drizzle then fine. Light NW wind. Min 8 Max 20
Monday: Rain and possible thunderstorms developing. Strengthening NNW wind. Min 8 Max 21
Tuesday: Few showers. Possible afternoon thunderstorm. Moderate to fresh SW wind. Min 13 Max 18
Wednesday: Mostly fine. Moderate to fresh NW wind. Min 9 Max 20
Thursday: Mostly fine. Fresh to strong NW wind. Min 12 Max 19

Next Update: Thursday, 7:00pm

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Post  Johnno Thu Sep 17, 2009 7:31 pm

Tonight: light showers and drizzle contracting to the Eastern and SE suburbs and becoming isolated overnight. Fresh SW winds easing. Min 10c.

Friday: Morning cloud clearing to a fine and sunny afternoon. Generally Light winds tending Northerly at night & afternoon seanbreezes. Max 18c.

Saturday: Shower or two developing. Slight risk of storm. Moderate NW winds tending SW to S during the afternoon. Min 9 Max 20c.

Sunday: Mostly Fine. Partly cloudy day. Generally Light to moderate W winds & possible afternoon seabreezes. Min 7 Max 18c.

Monday: Some rain developing later. Slight risk of storm. Fresh to strong NNE winds Shifting WNW at overnight. Min 12 Max 22c.

Tuesday: Few showers increasing later. Possible thunder and hail later. Strong NNW winds tending colder W. Min 10 Max 19c.

Wednesday: Occasional showers mainly afternoon. Risk of hail. Fresh W winds. Min 8 Max 16c.

Thursday: Occasional showers mainly afternoon. Fresh to Strong W winds. Risk of hail. Min 8 Max 16c.



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Post  Johnno Fri Sep 18, 2009 9:30 am

Friday: Morning cloud clearing to a fine and sunny afternoon. Generally Light winds & afternoon seabreezes Wind stending Light North westerly tonight. Max 18c.

Saturday: Shower or two developing. Slight risk of storm. Fresh NW winds tending SW during the afternoon. Min 9 Max 21c.

Sunday: Mostly Fine. Partly cloudy day. Generally Light to moderate Westerly winds & possible afternoon seabreezes. Min 7 Max 18c.

Monday: Cloud increasing. Some rain developing late in the day. Risk of storm. Moderate N winds at first tending North Easterly for a period and strenghening. Min 10 Max 22c.

Tuesday: Few showers increasing later. Possible thunder and hail later. Gale force NNW winds tending colder WNW. Min 10 Max 18c.

Wednesday: Occasional showers mainly afternoon. Risk of hail. Strong possibily gale force W winds. Min 8 Max 16c.

Thursday: Occasional showers mainly afternoon. Risk of hail. Strong possibly gale force W winds. Min 8 Max 16c.


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Post  Karl Lijnders Fri Sep 18, 2009 11:46 am

Melbourne:

Friday Evening: Fine. Light winds.

Saturday: Fine at first with a freshening northerly wind. Cloud developing with a few showers and local thunder developing. The risk of hail. Southwest/West winds developing. 21C

Sunday: Few clearing showers. 21C
Monday: Cloud increasing. Showers developing later. 21C
Tuesday: Few showers, local thunderstorms windy. 19C
Wednesday: Showers Increasing. Chance of thunderstorms Windy. 18C
Thursday: Showers Increasing. Windy. 17C
Friday: Showers. Windy. 17C
Saturday: Showers Increasing. Chance of a thunderstorm Windy. 18C
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Post  Karl Lijnders Fri Sep 18, 2009 5:53 pm

Melbourne:

Saturday: Fine at first with fresh northerly winds. Showers developing during the late morning or early afternoon with the chance of thunderstorms. Westerly change around mid afternoon, easing later. 22C

Sunday: Fine. 21C
Monday: Rain developing and increasing later. Windy. 22C
Tuesday: Showers increasing. Chance of a thunderstorm. 19C
Wednesday: Showers. Windy. 18C
Thursday: Showers. Windy. 16C
Friday: Few showers. Windy 18C
Saturday: Showers increasing. Windy 19C
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Post  I_Love_Storms Fri Sep 18, 2009 7:21 pm

Karl Lijnders wrote:
Wednesday: Showers. Windy. 18C
Thursday: Showers. Windy. 16C
Friday: Few showers. Windy 18C
Saturday: Showers increasing. Windy 19C

Hi Karl,

Do you think that the chance of thunderstorms has subsided slightly for these days?

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Post  Karl Lijnders Fri Sep 18, 2009 7:44 pm

Well there is the risk of thunder but I think the general flow will be too mobile, far too much cloud and the timing of the frontal systems seem to favour rainfall more so than thunderstorms. I think we will have to evaluate this a few days from now...

Monday and Tuesday pose a moderate to high risk of local thunderstorms.
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Post  Power Storm Fri Sep 18, 2009 8:01 pm

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 10:02pm

Friday Evening: Fine and mostly clear with moderate to occasionally fresh northwesterly winds.
Precis: Fine.

Saturday: Becoming mostly cloudy with fresh to strong north to northwesterly winds ahead of a west to southwesterly change during the late morning. A shower or two and the slight chance of a thunderstorm developing near the change. Min 8 Max 20
Precis: Change developing. Windy.

Outlook:
Sunday: Morning/late shower or two. Light to moderate WNW wind. Min 6 Max 18
Monday: Rain and possible thunderstorms developing early afternoon. Strengthening N wind. Min 8 Max 21
Tuesday: Showers increasing. Possible thunderstorms. Strong to gale force NW wind. Min 10 Max 18
Wednesday: Showers. Risk hail/thunder. Strong to gale force SW wind. Min 8 Max 15
Thursday: Few showers increasing. Strong to gale force W wind, shifting SW. Min 5 Max 15
Friday: Few showers, easing later. Strong SW wind. Min 4 Max 15
Saturday: Mainly fine. Moderate to fresh NW wind. Min 4 Max 17

Next Update: Saturday, 7:00pm

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Post  Power Storm Sat Sep 19, 2009 7:40 am

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 9:41am

Remainder of Saturday: Partly cloudy with fresh to locally strong north to northwesterly winds ahead of a west to southwesterly change around midday. A shower or two and the slight chance of a thunderstorm developing near the change. Max 20
Precis: Change developing. Windy.

Sunday: A partly cloudy day but remaining mostly fine, just a morning and late shower or two. Light to moderate westerly winds generally. Min 6 Max 18
Precis: Morning/late shower.

Outlook:
Monday: Rain and possible thunderstorms developing afternoon. Strengthening NNW wind. Min 8 Max 21
Tuesday: Showers increasing to rain. Possible thunderstorms. Strong to gale force NW wind. Min 10 Max 18
Wednesday: Showers. Risk hail/thunder. Strong to gale force SW wind. Min 8 Max 15
Thursday: Few showers. Strong to gale force W wind, shifting SW. Min 5 Max 15
Friday: Few showers, easing later. Strong SW wind. Min 4 Max 15
Saturday: Mainly fine. Moderate to fresh SW wind. Min 4 Max 16

Next Update: Saturday, 7:00pm

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Post  Karl Lijnders Sat Sep 19, 2009 3:08 pm

Melbourne:

Saturday: A SW change with a shower or two and the risk of a thunderstorm clearing.

Sunday: Fine at first but cloud developing with the risk of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. WNW winds shifting NW with local seabreezes. 22C

Monday: Windy. Showers developing later and tending to patchy rain. 20C
Tuesday: Windy. Showers with the chance of thunderstorms. 18C
Wednesday: Windy. Showers. 17C
Thursday: Windy. A few showers. 17C
Friday: Windy. Showers increasing. 18C
Saturday: Showery, windy. 14C
Sunday: Showers easing later. 15C
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Post  Johnno Sat Sep 19, 2009 3:23 pm

This evening: Shower or two clearing. Slight risk of storm. Fresh NW winds tending SW during the afternoon. Min 9 Max 21c.

Sunday: Mostly Fine - Chance of an afternoon shower. Partly cloudy day. Generally Moderate Westerly winds. Min 9 Max 18c.

Monday: Cloud increasing. Little rain developing late in the day. Risk of storm later. Moderate N winds at first tending North Easterly for a period and strenghening. Min 10 Max 22c.

Tuesday: Few showers increasing later. Possible thunder and hail later. Gale force NNW winds tending colder WNW. Min 10 Max 18c.

Wednesday: Occasional showers mainly afternoon. Risk of hail. Strong possibily gale force W winds. Min 8 Max 16c.

Thursday: Few showers mainly afternoon. Strong W winds. Min 9 Max 17c.

Friday: Showers developing later. Strong gusty NW winds. Min 9 Max 18c.

Grandfinal day: Showers, Possible hail, Cold, windy. Min 7 Max 15c.



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