Re: Victorian City/Town Weather Forecasts Forum Style.

**Johnno** Tue Oct 06, 2009 5:38 pm

Tonight: Few Showers Mainly Western and Outer Eastern suburbs. Fresh SSE wind. Min 8c.

Wednesday: Few Showers Mainly Western suburbs at first but then Eastern suburbs during the afternoon as well generally fine through Inner suburbs during the day. Isolated Hail possible in the suburbs mentioned above. Fresh to locally strong SSE winds. Min 9 Max 15c.

Thursday. Few brief showers. Fresh to locally strong SSE winds. Min 9 Max 15c.

Friday: Brief Shower or two. Moderate to fresh SSE winds. Min 8 Max 16c.

Saturday: Fine. Cold start with local frost. Partly cloudy afternoon. Light E winds & afternoon SW to SE seabreezes. Min 5 Max 17c.

Sunday: Fine. Cloud increasing late in the day. Little rain possible at night. Moderate NNE winds freshening. Min 7 Max 22c.

Monday: Few Showers. Fresh WNW winds. Min 12 Max 18c.

Tuesday: Shower or two. Fresh NW breeze. Min 10 Max 19c.

John.

Power Storm Tue Oct 06, 2009 6:08 pm

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 9:09pm

Tuesday Evening: Mostly cloudy with a shower or two and local hail. Moderate to fresh southeasterly winds.
Precis: Shower or two.

Wednesday: A partly cloudy day with a shower or two clearing during the afternoon and evening. Moderate to fresh southeasterly winds, locally strong at times. Min 4 Max 15
Precis: Shower or two clearing.

Outlook:
Thursday: Chance light shower. Moderate S wind. Min 4 Max 15
Friday: Risk morning drizzle. Light to moderate ESE wind. Min 4 Max 16
Saturday: Fog/frost then fine. Light NE wind. Min 3 Max 18
Sunday: Mainly fine. Freshening NNW wind. Min 5 Max 22
Monday: Few showers. Fresh to strong W change. Min 8 Max 17
Tuesday: Mainly fine. Moderate NW wind. Min 5 Max 19
Wednesday: Few showers. Fresh SW wind developing. Min 8 Max 17

Next Update: Wednesday, 7:00pm

**hillybilly** Wed Oct 07, 2009 4:41 pm

Looks like everyones all weathered out.

Here's the BoM forecast for Melbourne. More unsettled weather next week.

Melbourne Forecast

Issued at 4:20 pm EDT on Wednesday 7 October 2009
for the period until midnight EDT Wednesday 14 October 2009.
Warning Summary at issue time

Nil.

Details of warnings are available on the Bureau's website www.bom.gov.au, by telephone 1300-659-217* or through some TV and radio broadcasts.
Forecast for the rest of Wednesday

Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Winds southerly averaging 20 to 35 km/h.
Forecast for Thursday

Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Winds south to southeasterly averaging up to 30 km/h.
City
Shower or two.
Min
7
Max
16
Around Melbourne
Geelong
Min
5
Max
15
Mount Dandenong
Min
2
Max
10
Yarra Glen
Min
3
Max
15
Laverton
Min
6
Max
15
Frankston
Min
8
Max
14
Scoresby
Min
5
Max
15
Tullamarine
Min
5
Max
15
Watsonia
Min
5
Max
15

UV Alert from 10:10 am to 4:00 pm, UV Index predicted to reach 6 [High]
Forecast for Friday

Partly cloudy. Isolated showers during the morning. Patches of light morning frost in outer suburbs. Winds southeasterly averaging up to 25 km/h.
City
Morning cloud.
Min
7
Max
17
Forecast for Saturday

Mostly sunny. Areas of morning frost in the suburbs. Winds east to southeasterly averaging up to 20 km/h tending east to northeasterly by early evening.
City
Mostly sunny.
Min
5
Max
19
Forecast for Sunday

Mostly sunny. Winds north to northeasterly averaging up to 25 km/h tending northerly 25 to 35 km/h during the morning.
City
Mostly sunny.
Min
9
Max
22
Forecast for Monday

Cloudy. Scattered showers. Winds northerly averaging up to 50 km/h tending west to northwesterly up to 35 km/h during the evening.
City
Windy and showers.
Min
12
Max
20
Forecast for Tuesday

Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Winds northwesterly averaging up to 40 km/h.
City
Shower or two.
Min
12
Max
18
Forecast for Wednesday

Cloudy. Scattered showers. Light winds tending south to southwesterly up to 30 km/h during the afternoon.
City
Few showers.
Min
9
Max
15

**Karl Lijnders** Wed Oct 07, 2009 6:52 pm

Melbourne:

Wednesday: A shower or two in the outer west and east.

Thursday: A shower or two, mainly in the late morning. Sunny periods in the afternoon. 17C

Friday: Fine, early frost. 18C
Saturday: Fine. Partly cloudy. 20C
Sunday: Fine. Cloud developing later. 22C
Monday: Showers developing. 20C
Tuesday: Showers. 17C
Wednesday: Showers, windy. 16C
Thursday: Showers, windy. 15C
Friday: Showers. 15C

Power Storm Wed Oct 07, 2009 7:08 pm

Thanks for getting Mel's up mate, I am late issuing mine because of homework, it took priority, and it was maths...

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 10:07pm

Wednesday Evening: Mostly clear. Moderate southeasterly winds.
Precis: Mostly clear.

Thursday: Partly cloudy, but remaining fine. Light to moderate south to southeasterly winds. Min 4 Max 15
Precis: Fine.

Outlook:
Friday: Morning cloud. Light to moderate E wind. Min 4 Max 18
Saturday: Fog/frost then fine. Light NE wind. Min 2 Max 19
Sunday: Fine. Mostly sunny. Light NNE wind. Min 5 Max 22
Monday: Change developing. Risk thunderstorm. Strengthening NNW wind. Min 9 Max 24
Tuesday: Some rain at times. Risk thunderstorm. Fresh to strong NW wind. Min 11 Max 18
Wednesday: Some rain at times, easing to few showers later. Fresh to strong NW wind, shifting WSW. Min 8 Max 16
Thursday: Shower or two. Fresh to strong SW wind. Min 5 Max 15

Next Update: Thursday, 7:00pm

**Karl Lijnders** Thu Oct 08, 2009 4:00 pm

Melbourne:

Thursday: A shower or two in the outer west. Becoming clear from the east.

Friday: Cold start with frost mainly over the north and east. A shower or two over the southwest and western suburbs clearing during the morning. Sunny periods developing with easterly. 18C

Saturday: Early frost then sunny. 20C
Sunday: Cloud increasing later. 23C
Monday: A little rain developing. 19C
Tuesday: Rain periods. 17C
Wednesday: Rain easing to showers. 15C
Thursday: Showers. Local hail and thunder. 14C
Friday: Showers. Local hail. 15C

Power Storm Thu Oct 08, 2009 4:01 pm

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 7:00pm

Thursday Evening: Partly cloudy, but remaining fine. Light to moderate south to southeasterly winds.
Precis: Fine.

Friday: Fine. Morning cloud then a partly cloudy day with light to moderate easterly winds. Min 4 Max 18
Precis: Fine.

Outlook:
Saturday: Morning fog/frost. Risk afternoon shower or thunderstorm. Light NE wind. Min 2 Max 19
Sunday: Mainly fine - risk afternoon shower or thunderstorm. Strengthening N wind. Min 5 Max 22
Monday: Patchy rain developing. Strong NNW wind, shifting WNW. Min 9 Max 18
Tuesday: Some rain at times. Fresh to strong SW wind. Local hail/thunder. Min 6 Max 16
Wednesday: Early rain, then few showers. Local hail. Fresh to strong SW wind. Min 5 Max 15
Thursday: Shower or two. Fresh to strong SW wind. Min 4 Max 15
Friday: Fine. Light SW wind. Min 3 Max 16

Next Update: Friday, 7:00pm

**Johnno** Fri Oct 09, 2009 6:11 pm

Tonight: Clear. Becoming cold. Moderate to fresh ESE winds becoming light and variable from the North. Min 5c.

Saturday: Fine. Cold start with local frost patches. Sunny afternoon. Light ENE winds & afternoon seabreezes. Max 19c..

Sunday: Fine. Cloud increasing late in the day. Moderate NNE winds freshening. Min 8 Max 22c.

Monday: Little rain mainly Eastern and Southern suburbs Very little if any in the Northern and Western suburbs. Few showers to follow later. Fresh to strong NNW winds tending WNW. Min 15 Max 19c.

Tuesday: Shower or two increasing later and possibily tending to rain in the Eastern and Southern suburbs. Strong NW Winds. Min 10 Max 17c.

Wednesday: Showers, mainly Eastern and SE suburbs. Strong WSW winds easing a touch later. Min 8 Max 15c

Thursday: Few showers increasing later. Fresh to Strong W winds tending SW later. Min 8 Max 16c.

Friday: Few showers. WSW winds. Min 8 Max 16c.

Outlook Next Weekend for the Caulfield Cup: Remaining cool to cold with temps 14 to 16c with a few showers persisting.

**Karl Lijnders** Fri Oct 09, 2009 7:19 pm

Melbourne:

Saturday: Early frost. Sunny. Moderate Ely winds strengthening with afternoon seabreezes. 20C

Sunday: Fine. Cloud increasing later. 24C
Monday: Some rain. Windy. 20C
Tuesday: Showers increasing, tending to rain later. Chance of thunderstorms. 19C
Wednesday: Showers. Local hail and thunder. 16C
Thursday: Showers increasing. Local hail and thunder later. 16C
Friday: Showers. Morning hail and thunder 15C
Saturday: Showers increasing. 16C

Power Storm Sat Oct 10, 2009 6:01 pm

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 9:02pm

Saturday Evening: Fine and generally clear. Light northeast wind.
Precis: Clear.

Sunday: A fine and mostly sunny day apart from high cloud increasing during the afternoon and evening. The chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm, then a shower or two developing late at night. Light to moderate northerly wind, freshening from the afternoon. Min 4 Max 22
Precis: Fine day.

Outlook:
Monday: A little rain, then few showers, increasing at night. Chance thunderstorm. Strong WNW wind, shifting W early. Min 9 Max 17
Tuesday: Some rain at times. Local hail/thunder. Strong SW wind. Min 6 Max 16
Wednesday: Few showers. Fresh to strong SW wind. Min 5 Max 15
Thursday: Shower or two. Fresh to strong W wind, shifting SSW. Min 4 Max 15
Friday: Few showers. Fresh to strong S wind. Min 4 Max 14
Saturday: Early drizzle then fine. Light S wind. Min 3 Max 15
Sunday: Fog/frost then fine. Light SE wind. Min 1 max 16

Next Update: Sunday, 7:00pm

norfolk Sat Oct 10, 2009 8:45 pm

Am I right in thinking that a high will park itself over southern Victoria next Sunday? If that's the case, it will be a very cold morning next sunday morning to a fine day.

I have started looking at the GFS maps from the Brisbane Stormchasers site so I can get a better feel to forecasts, and understand them, from the site the forecast maps I look at have the title,
GFS Forecast for 06Z Sat, 10th October. 2009

Can someone please explain to me what the 06Z means? Am I to correctly guess that it means 06.00GMT, which would make it 4pm EST (5pm daylight saving time)?

Tony

**Karl Lijnders** Sat Oct 10, 2009 8:59 pm

Melbourne:

Sunday: A fine morning with sunny periods. Cloud increasing with the chance of a shower. NE winds. 24C

Monday: Some rain. 20C
Tuesday: Showers tending to rain. Chance of thunderstorms. 17C
Wednesday: Showers. Local hail and thunder during the afternoon. 17C
Thursday: Rain developing. Windy. 17C
Friday: Showers. Local hail and thunder. Windy. 14C
Saturday: Showers. Local hail and thunder. Windy. 14C
Sunday: Few showers. 15C

droughtbreaker Sat Oct 10, 2009 9:44 pm

norfolk wrote:Am I right in thinking that a high will park itself over southern Victoria next Sunday? If that's the case, it will be a very cold morning next sunday morning to a fine day.

I have started looking at the GFS maps from the Brisbane Stormchasers site so I can get a better feel to forecasts, and understand them, from the site the forecast maps I look at have the title,
GFS Forecast for 06Z Sat, 10th October. 2009

Can someone please explain to me what the 06Z means? Am I to correctly guess that it means 06.00GMT, which would make it 4pm EST (5pm daylight saving time)?

Tony

Yes, that's correct.
I think the rainfall is for the 24hr period prior to the time stated although others will correct me if I'm wrong

norfolk Sun Oct 11, 2009 7:55 am

thanks

I think I need someone to sit with me one day to explain it all!! lol!

Power Storm Sun Oct 11, 2009 8:03 am

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 11:04am

Sunday Afternoon: Fine and mostly sunny apart from afternoon cloud, increasing during the evening. The chance of an afternoon thundery shower, otherwise fine until a thundery shower or two develops late at night. Light to moderate northerly wind, freshening from the afternoon. Max 22
Precis: Mainly fine.

Monday: Generally cloudy. A little rain, easing to a few showers by the afternoon, then increasing later in the day or at night. The chance of thunderstorms, mainly during the morning and early afternoon, and then again late in the day and at night. Strong west to northwesterly winds. Min 9 Max 17
Precis: Few showers/storms. Windy.

Outlook:
Tuesday: Some rain at times. Local hail/thunder. Strong SW wind. Min 6 Max 16
Wednesday: Few showers. Fresh to strong SW wind. Min 5 Max 15
Thursday: Shower or two. Fresh to strong W wind, shifting SSW. Min 4 Max 15
Friday: Few showers. Fresh to strong S wind. Min 4 Max 14
Saturday: Early drizzle then fine. Light S wind. Min 3 Max 15
Sunday: Fog/frost then fine. Light SE wind. Min 1 max 16

Next Update: Sunday, 7:00pm

Power Storm Sun Oct 11, 2009 3:55 pm

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 6:55pm

Sunday Evening: Some convective cloud clearing, but high cloud increasing. Fine until a thundery shower or two develops late at night, increasing after midnight. Moderate northerly wind, freshening tonight.
Precis: Thundery shower or two developing.

Monday: Generally cloudy. A little rain, easing to a few showers by the afternoon, then increasing later in the day or at night. The chance of thunderstorms, mainly during the morning and early afternoon, and then again late in the day and at night. Local hail at night. Strong west to northwesterly winds. Min 9 Max 17
Precis: Few showers/storms. Windy.

Outlook:
Tuesday: Some rain at times. Local hail/thunder. Strong WNW wind, shifting WSW. Min 6 Max 15
Wednesday: Few showers. Fresh to strong SW wind. Min 5 Max 15
Thursday: Few showers. Fresh to strong SW. Min 4 Max 14
Friday: Shower or two. Fresh to strong SSW wind. Min 4 Max 14
Saturday: Light shower or two. Moderate SW wind. Min 4 Max 15
Sunday: Fog/frost then fine. Light W wind. Min 2 Max 16
Monday: Fog/frost then fine. Light W wind. Min 0 Max 18

Next Update: Monday, 7:00pm

**Karl Lijnders** Sun Oct 11, 2009 5:04 pm

Melbourne:

Sunday: Cloud increasing with a little rain developing after midnight.

Monday: Morning rain then a mainly fine day with the risk of a shower or storm. NE winds shifting NW during the day. 22C

Tuesday: Showers increasing to rain in the east. 17C
Wednesday: Frequent showers. Local hail and thunder. 15C
Thursday: Showers increasing to rain. Local hail and thunder. 15C
Friday: Few showers. Afternoon thunderstorm and hail. 16C
Saturday: Showers. Hail and thunder. 14C
Sunday: Showers. Local hail.
Monday: Few showers. 15C

Power Storm Mon Oct 12, 2009 5:37 pm

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 8:38pm

Monday Evening: Generally cloudy. Showers. The chance of thunder and hail overnight. Strong west to northwesterly winds.
Precis: Showers. Hail/thunder. Windy.

Tuesday: Cloudy. Showers, possibly tending to rain at times. Local hail and thunder. Strong to gale force west to northwesterly winds, shifting southwesterly late in the day or at night. Min 6 Max 15
Precis: Showers. Windy.

Outlook:
Wednesday: Showers. Strong to gale force SW wind. Min 5 Max 14
Thursday: Few showers. Strong SW. Min 4 Max 14
Friday: Shower or two. Fresh to strong SSW wind. Min 4 Max 14
Saturday: Early drizzle then fine. Light to moderate SW wind. Min 3 Max 15
Sunday: Fog/frost then fine. Light W wind. Min 2 Max 16
Monday: Fog/frost then fine. Light wind. Min 2 Max 20
Tuesday: Fine day. Freshening NW wind. Min 4 Max 24

Next Update: Tuesday, 7:00pm

Power Storm Tue Oct 13, 2009 3:19 pm

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 6:20pm

Tuesday Evening: Cloudy. Showers. Local hail and thunder. Strong southwesterly winds.
Precis: Showers. Windy.

Wednesday: A mostly cloudy day with showers and the risk of morning hail. Strong southwesterly winds. Min 5 Max 14
Precis: Showers. Windy.

Outlook:
Thursday: Frequent showers. Risk thunder. Strong SW wind. Min 4 Max 14
Friday: Shower or two. Fresh to strong SW wind. Min 4 Max 14
Saturday: Light shower clearing. Moderate SW wind. Min 4 Max 15
Sunday: Fog/frost then fine. Light W wind. Min 2 Max 17
Monday: Fog/frost then fine. Light NW wind. Min 2 Max 21
Tuesday: Fine. Fresh NW wind, shifting SW later. Min 5 Max 24
Wednesday: Mostly fine. Moderate wind. Min 5 Max 20

Next Update: Wednesday, 7:00pm

**Johnno** Tue Oct 13, 2009 6:24 pm

This was my forecast 4 days ago last Friday and am not going to really change it much..

Tuesday: Shower or two increasing later and possibily tending to rain in the Eastern and Southern suburbs. Strong NW Winds.

Wednesday: Showers, mainly Eastern and SE suburbs. Strong WSW winds easing a touch later. Min 8 Max 15c

Thursday: Few showers increasing later. Risk of Hail and storm later. Fresh to Strong W winds tending SW later. Min 8 Max 16c.

Friday: Few showers. SW winds. Min 8 Max 16c.

Outlook Next Weekend for the Caulfield Cup: Remaining cool to cold with temps 14 to 16c with a few showers persisting. Clearing Sunday.

Early next week: Becoming Warm ahead of another front with few showers Tuesday.. Temps around 20c Monday and 24C Tuesday.

Power Storm Wed Oct 14, 2009 6:06 pm

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 9:07pm

Wednesday Evening: Mostly cloudy with a few light showers. Fresh to locally strong southwesterly winds.
Precis: Few showers. Windy.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy. Frequent showers and the risk of a thunderstorm with hail. Strong southwesterly winds, locally reaching gale force. Min 4 Max 14
Precis: Frequent showers. Risk thunder. Windy.

Outlook:
Friday: Shower or two. Fresh to strong SW wind. Min 4 Max 14
Saturday: Light shower clearing. Moderate S wind. Min 4 Max 15
Sunday: Fog/frost then fine. Light W wind. Min 2 Max 17
Monday: Fog/frost then fine. Light NW wind. Min 2 Max 20
Tuesday: Fine. Freshening NW wind. Min 5 Max 25
Wednesday: Mostly fine. Moderate wind. Min 7 Max 20
Thursday: Mostly fine. Moderate wind. Min 6 Max 20

Next Update: Thursday, 7:00pm

Power Storm Thu Oct 15, 2009 3:29 pm

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 6:30pm

Thursday Evening: Partly cloudy. A few showers. Local hail clearing overnight. Strong southwesterly winds.
Precis: Few showers.

Friday: Partly cloudy. A few showers easing to a shower or two by mid-afternoon. Fresh to locally strong southerly winds, easing. Min 4 Max 14
Precis: Few showers easing.

Outlook:
Saturday: Light shower clearing. Moderate S wind. Min 4 Max 15
Sunday: Fog/frost then fine. Light W wind. Min 2 Max 17
Monday: Fog/frost then fine. Light NW wind. Min 2 Max 20
Tuesday: Fine. Strengthening NW wind. Min 5 Max 25
Wednesday: Mostly fine. Light to moderate SE wind. Min 7 Max 20
Thursday: Fine. Light to moderate ESE wind. Min 5 Max 22
Friday: Fine. Light wind. Min 4 Max 23

Next Update: Friday, 7:00pm

**Karl Lijnders** Fri Oct 16, 2009 2:25 pm

Melbourne:

Friday: A few showers developing over the eastern suburbs. Cool.

Saturday: A few showers over the eastern suburbs easing during the afternoon. SW winds. 17C

Sunday: Early drizzle and cloud then becoming fine. 18C
Monday: Fine. 22C
Tuesday: Fine. Late wind change. 29C
Wednesday: Early drizzle and cloud. 21C
Thursday: Fine. 24C
Friday: Fine. 32C
Saturday: Few showers clearing. 22C

Power Storm Fri Oct 16, 2009 3:24 pm

Bit of a tricky one this upcoming week, depends on the position of troughs and lows.

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 6:30pm

Friday Evening: Partly cloudy. A light shower or two possible. Moderate southerly wind.
Precis: Possible light shower or two.

Saturday: A partly cloudy day. A light shower or two, clearing late in the day or at night. Light to moderate southerly winds. Min 4 Max 15
Precis: Light shower clearing later.

Outlook:
Sunday: Fog/frost then fine. Light W wind. Min 2 Max 17
Monday: Fog/frost then fine. Light NW wind. Min 3 Max 20
Tuesday: Fine. Freshening NW wind, shifting W later. Min 5 Max 25
Wednesday: Mostly fine. Light wind. Min 7 Max 20
Thursday: Unsettled. Light to moderate N wind. Min 5 Max 22
Friday: Unsettled. Light wind. Min 7 Max 28
Saturday: Becoming fine. Moderate to fresh SW wind. Min 5 Max 21

Next Update: Saturday, 7:00pm

Power Storm Sat Oct 17, 2009 9:53 am

Simpson South, Southwest Victoria, Australia Forecast
Updated: 12:54pm

Saturday Afternoon: A partly cloudy day. A light shower or two, clearing late in the day or at night. Light to moderate southerly winds. Max 15
Precis: Light shower clearing later.

Sunday: Possible morning fog and frost, then a fine and mostly sunny day. Light westerly winds. Min 2 Max 17
Precis: Fog/frost then fine.

Outlook:
Monday: Fog/frost then fine. Light NW wind. Min 3 Max 20
Tuesday: Fine. Freshening NW wind, shifting W later. Min 5 Max 25
Wednesday: Mostly fine. Light wind. Min 7 Max 20
Thursday: Unsettled. Light to moderate N wind. Min 5 Max 22
Friday: Unsettled. Light wind. Min 7 Max 23
Saturday: Becoming fine. Moderate to fresh SW wind. Min 5 Max 21

Next Update: Saturday, 7:00pm

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