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Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009

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typhoon29
Leasy
firestorm
AmaroK
Blackie
tizza
Melbourne Skywalker
Madmel
Scott Lawrance
Hinezy
Sniper
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dagget
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Twister
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Karl Lijnders
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Post  AmaroK Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:39 pm

wow, That system fizzled out really quick. Can see patches of blue sky to my north again. Got some very light rain here, but nothing to write home about.
AmaroK
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Post  Madmel Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:40 pm

Gezz the concreter's have a idea of what is coming, their efforts have increased somwhat LOL. Hasnt hit here yet, but looking evil

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Post  Melbourne Skywalker Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:45 pm

Madmel wrote:Gezz the concreter's have a idea of what is coming, their efforts have increased somwhat LOL. Hasnt hit here yet, but looking evil

Send them my way! lol, my concreter has chicken out since yesterday. Still coming down here, been quite moderate.

Melbourne Skywalker

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Post  Madmel Tue Aug 11, 2009 2:06 pm

LOL well these guys have a deadline to get the slab down nextdoor being a Simmons home.

Rain is moderate here atm, can see some blue sky in the north through the rain. Dont ask how, just its a blue tinge

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Post  Karl Lijnders Tue Aug 11, 2009 2:06 pm

Just moderate rainfall out here sadly, but all helps none the less. Looking for the chance of storms to continue for the next few hours before tending to showers and rain areas.

Another day tomorrow where storms are possible as the flow shifts SSW later.
Karl Lijnders
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Post  Melbourne Skywalker Tue Aug 11, 2009 2:11 pm

Rain has picked up again in the last 10 minutes, pity I don't have a rain gauge here at work, would love to know the total here so far. Just as I typed it started pouring down, quite heavy now.

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Post  Scott Lawrance Tue Aug 11, 2009 2:23 pm

I'm at work here in Sandringham and all we got was a few drops that barely wet the ground.

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Post  Blackie Tue Aug 11, 2009 2:28 pm

Still raining moderately in Sth Melbourne and has been for 45 min...about 5-8mm is my guess

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Post  Karl Lijnders Tue Aug 11, 2009 2:28 pm

Good forecast with thunderstorms expected to continue tonight. Again don't be suprised if they are forecast tomorrow.

Highest fall in the state is outside of Seymour with Booroola picking up 20mm from thunderstorms and further rain moving in as the low edges SE.

Could see some totals clock up this evening in some regions of the state. Melbourne looks to be in a good position to make up for yesterday and some suburbs could go past 10mm overnight.
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Post  Twister Tue Aug 11, 2009 3:01 pm

This low was never going to be great, with dry low levels and lack of any Major infeed of moisture.

Many have really missed out again sadly.
Nice showers and storms about and should go for few more hours yet, so some will pick up that 5-8mm but pretty hit and miss though.
Sky is looking great so many different types and layers of cloud, sky has that spring look to it almost thundery looks nice and great to see
Watch for more showers overnight, things here are damp again after 2mm overnight and another 3mm in showers today

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Post  firestorm Tue Aug 11, 2009 3:26 pm

steady light rain all day 2mm till now! 5mm last nite and rainng steady now should clock up some decent totals overnight Cool

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Post  Karl Lijnders Tue Aug 11, 2009 3:36 pm

Hey FS!! You could do alright the coming 12hrs with the ESE flow.

Raining moderately here but in drops the size of 50c pieces!! Really nice soaking rain out there which could go for a while in this stream.
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Post  Malleefarmer Tue Aug 11, 2009 3:57 pm

What are the chances of this low hanging around for the the next 24hrs??? Some nice looking showers to my S atm and if the low stuck around for a little while longer and maybe a little wobble we may get a shower.

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Post  Leasy Tue Aug 11, 2009 4:00 pm

Totally not expecting that lot of cloud this afternoon, I was lucky enough to snap a couple of pics 5 minutes before it hit at Doncaster. Good rainfall out of it too - did see mammatus just before the rain started too...

Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009 - Page 5 IMG_0245

Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009 - Page 5 IMG_0246
Leasy
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Post  mick Tue Aug 11, 2009 4:00 pm

Sexy clouds all day but just a shower or two.

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Post  typhoon29 Tue Aug 11, 2009 4:03 pm

a funny sort of day here today, light rain this morning, cloud broke up rather sunny then the convective activity kicked on around 2pm. Was awesome because I was on drive tests. Large Cu Cj and the distant anvils of Cbs around the place alas nothing here. seems like the eye of this little low is right over Ballarat! Felt warm too.
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Post  Hinezy Tue Aug 11, 2009 4:13 pm

Quite a nice storm (at at least had 2 rumbles of thunder) moved over the top of my work at Broadmeadows this afternoon! I watched it come together towards the NE on radar and eventually go on to dump about 4mm over the city! One thing that impressed me was that it had quite a nice guster as it approachded and seemed to turn outflow dominant right over the top of me!

Here's a couple of pics anyway.. sorry about the quality.. only had my Nokia with me Sad

Firstly as it was approaching from the NNE

Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009 - Page 5 Aug1

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Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009 - Page 5 Aug3

Had quite a yellow/green tinge to it on its western edge which made me think hail was a possibility but we didn't score any at Broadmeadows..

Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009 - Page 5 Aug4d

This one below was as the outflow/guster region was passing right over the top of the radar! We had about 5 minutes of quite gusty "cold" winds!

Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009 - Page 5 Aug5

It also had a few interesting little lowerings as it set its sights on the CBD..

Victoria: Low pressure System and Rain event. August 9th-15th 2009 - Page 5 Aug6

Not a bad afternoon at all!

Cheers

Cameron

Edit : Awesome pics Leasy! That's exactly how it looked in the distance about 10 minutes before i starting taking pics! Very nice gust front!!

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Post  Leasy Tue Aug 11, 2009 4:25 pm

Thanks Heinzey!

I was rushing back to my work and made sure I got a parking spot facing north to capture that monster! It looked a lot darker in person though - just so glad to have the camera on hand!

Great pics you have there - it's good to see another angle on it, love the first pic, shows the guster really well. Very Happy
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Post  Johnno Tue Aug 11, 2009 4:28 pm

4mm here better than nothing hey. cloud structure looked great nice pics guys

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Post  I_Love_Storms Tue Aug 11, 2009 4:31 pm

Quite rare to have a low sitting over Central Vic. I am making the most of it while it lasts and hopefully we get some more storms tonight!!! There is still little orange and yellow dots on the radar but nothing substantial at the moment. I think there will be a lot of rain around the west coast of Port Philip Bay as this low moves south.

What do you guys think about Sunday evenings prospects?

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Post  DC449 Tue Aug 11, 2009 4:41 pm

Not much here, would love a storm tonight or tomorrow
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Post  hillybilly Tue Aug 11, 2009 5:36 pm

Reasonably happy with the 5mm we got here today in Ferny Creek - no storm from what I could tell. Was a ripper storm through the city but over very quickly. Still - getting a (non coldie) storm in winter is just about unheard of can't complain.

Some OK falls around the state - though patchy - Melton South's 12mm and Booroola's 20mm are the best (I'ld reckon 12mm increases Melton's YTD rainfall by near 10% Shocked ).

Next 36 hours will be interesting. As the low moves into Bass Strait we should see a nice area of rain developing which may wrap around. This is a touch and go situation with a slight shift in the intensity and location of the low making a big difference. Both GFS and UK are pretty keen on a wrap around (GFS showing falls up to 50mm in the next 48 hours in south central areas). It looks to me like the start of this may be showing up in South Gippsland ATM.

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Post  Karl Lijnders Tue Aug 11, 2009 6:28 pm

Finished with about 5.6mm here which was a nice save. Usually the rainbands skirt north of us and over the western suburbs when the flow is east-west. Sister in Monbulk scored 8.8mm so that is a good effort there.

Looking towards tomorrow and it really is cross everything!!! I think it is a matter of things falling our way (obviously). Could see falls of 10-20mm if it wraps the right way. I think the rainband will be rather convective too so falls will be a lot thicker than the previous days with better moisture profile.

Weekend looking OK too. Potential for a 22-23C day on Saturday and Sunday.
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Post  Malleefarmer Tue Aug 11, 2009 6:49 pm

Well whadda ya know we got a shower. It only lasted for 5 sec but hey it was more than expected. Quite solid little patch too

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Post  Dane Tue Aug 11, 2009 6:58 pm

Just 1mm here today, missed those heavier afternoon showers.

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