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Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

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Victoria:  Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009. - Page 16 Empty Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  I_Love_Storms Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:15 am

Luken wrote:
Was it Rob Gell quoted last night saying 10 - 15mm for the city? Gee good call that. Any idiot with a basic understanding of the models and sat pcis etc could see we would get more than that.

Yeah the minute he said that I put a post writing off his poor prediction. That was at a time where Laverton had already had about 8.5mm in about 90 mins.

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Post  Sniper Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:19 am

Ballarat back online after being down since 6am. Rainfall jumped 20mm in that time. DJ is spot on, 20mm with this band with higher falls likely with this line getting more and more defined.

Edit: Sheoaks up to 7.2mm in 15 mins.


Last edited by Sniper on Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:23 am; edited 1 time in total

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Post  Melbourne Skywalker Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:23 am

Wow look at that band approach from the west! bounce bounce
Closing in on 50mm here after checking the gauge again. Tony my street backs onto Kororoit Creek so I might go for a walk later when most of this clears.

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Post  droughtbreaker Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:24 am

Just drove to Bullengarook and back. Nothing spectacular but there was a large lagoon near the recreation reserve so I guess you'd call that flash flooding.

Anyway, very heavy rain most of the way back, a bit on and off but very solid.Bullengarook about to get another thumping. Hopefully that line holds its strenght through here and back builds north because it is threatening to slip south a bit.

A bit boring but here's the wettest part of Bullengarook atm, nice little swampy lagoon, not something we tend to see a lot these days with all the drought we have had. Thought it was a pretty nice scene

Victoria:  Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009. - Page 16 002


Last edited by droughtbreaker on Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:27 am; edited 1 time in total

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Post  Dane Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:24 am

Well not as much as some but still 38mm's to 9am not bad. Highest 24 hour total here since 50.8mm's fell on December 13 last year. Have cracked 600mm for the year now as well which is more than last year. Still a long way to go to reach the yearly average of 816mm's. Looks like a bit more to come as well. Good falls around the state but some areas didn't do so well, Coldstream near Lilydale only had 15mm's and some parts of the western district had less than 10mm. Good to see the the drier NW suburbs did well with some suburbs getting over 50mm's. Very Happy

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Post  tizza Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:28 am

Sniper wrote:Not my finest mate, but you get the idea hey Smile
What's going on with you Avatar? Seems to be distorting?

changed my avatar to a volcano I went to, pics are great, showing the other who missed out how heavy the rain is. I just got back from a walk to the shops and the buildings in the CBD are covered which is a shame because as that rain band gets closer I think it would have a WICKED guster on it. It keeps intensifying as it approaches too. Pre rain band has started and it's getting quite heavy, I think we're going to get smacked. If the radar is under estimating like it was last night.
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Post  Sebastian Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:33 am

Top of the morning all Very Happy

Fantastic reporting by everyone involved. A top shelf read, I must say!

46mm up to 9am here in Ballan ... and absolutely teeming down here at the moment!

Luke .... mate, that picture would have done the producers of Monty Python proud, you poor thing! Hopefully it gets sorted promptly hey.

Spoke to the old man up on the farm at Lake Boga .... 37mm recorded in his dusty ol' rain gauge!!

Sebastian.

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Post  tizza Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:34 am

Sheoaks approaching 11mm since 9AM already.
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Post  droughtbreaker Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:35 am

103mm, official 24hr total at Trentham. cheers Who says we don't get heavy rain in Central VIC. Razz (QLDers always going on about it)

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Post  NoRelationToNed Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:37 am

33.5 mm in the gauge this morning up here in the north. Reports via Facebook of between 33 and 41 mm in the area which is a great general soaking. Those red dots on the map up in the catchments also augur well for improved irrigation allocations as a result.
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Post  Sniper Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:41 am

6.5mm in 4mins @ Avalon. Twisted Evil
97.5mm/hr rate. Yum!!!

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Post  Nick Sykes Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:43 am

Nice moderate shower in Oakleigh just now with the sun coming out, wasn't expecting that Smile

Hopefully some clearance ahead of this trough to get some happy snaps.

Nick

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Post  Lily Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:44 am

Woken to 62.5mm here this morning, but I didn't hear a thing, I was too busy Sleep Very Happy

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Post  Stratospear Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:45 am

That 100mm in Trentham should create a nice inflow into Upper Coliban Dam.

There is some SE wind off the bay before the rainband. That will likely supercharge the rainband as it closes in....

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Post  Anthony Violi Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:45 am

Its going to be ballistic here very shortly, sun has come out and can see the most amazing black bases on the mid level deck...easily another inch in the next 2 hours..
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Post  droughtbreaker Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:45 am

The squall line is gaining strength!

Heads up for the eastern suburbs of Melbourne for intense flash flooding. The warm bay is likely to intensify the line heaps, could end up massive.

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Post  tizza Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:46 am

just had a brown out, it's getting very dark here. I don't think it was lightning related though

There really should be a severe squall warning out for the bay!!!
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Post  VRSTORM Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:52 am

Boy!!!! dams are overflowing!! Backyard flooded and is still raining!!!!! The block is a river at the moment!!!!!
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Post  Greg Sorenson Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:53 am

doplar shows it pretty well.... will be interesting as it passes over the bay.
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Post  Sniper Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:55 am

Winds are not overly strong with this line so no Squall Warning. Appears to be splitting. Mornington Peninsula to get best out of this.

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Post  tizza Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:58 am

Another good shower passing over before the main event, once again nothing spectacular on radar over me at this point in time, man this line is going to be nuts
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Post  dagget Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:59 am

This next band looks good, jst had a mew mins of no rain to go outside check the tanks (all full), pump about 200l into the hot tub to keep the timber soaked (now very very full) and put the cover on....now 36mm for today, might even crack 50mm before this is over any more would be a pain as the guage is broken just above 50.

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Post  I_Love_Storms Sun Nov 22, 2009 7:00 am

The line is reintensifying again now. Good drop just then, line up near Macedon looks quite intense.

Sun is out as well, first time in a while!!!

Might help to strengthen this line

Edit: Weakening again!! Laughing


Last edited by I_Love_Storms on Sun Nov 22, 2009 7:04 am; edited 2 times in total

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Post  droughtbreaker Sun Nov 22, 2009 7:01 am

Just remembered that I emptied the gauge last night with 5.4mm in it so the 32mm I recorded early this morning was in addition to that. Since then I have had another 9.1mm, so I've actually had 47.2mm now for the event. It's just getting better and better. Laughing

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Post  Melbourne Skywalker Sun Nov 22, 2009 7:02 am

It's just gone black as a dogs guts outside. About to hit us as I type. What a Face

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