Victoria: Upper Trough/Rain Event June 1st - 5th 2009

Home to find 1.8mm in the gauge to add to last nights 1.9mm. Crazy stuff for us to have such small totals day after day and now 6 weeks since we had a 10mm day. Also very mild with 14.8C.

EC puts some heavy showers through Melbourne tomorrow in the NW flow. These set ups with sufficient low level moisture can be very productive through the eastern burbs as they build in the lee of Macedon (thanks Andrew). Of course, might not happen

Great to see falls still clocking up in the west and now in the northeast.

It is hard to swallow these real shallow falls but really the models have been persistant in keeping the rain west and north of us.

Tomorrow I think you may be onto something. Perhaps a little more heat and the trough closer could trigger falls similar to what Horsham has had this evening. Still got tomorrow as a chance of getting something steady.

But really a fantastic start for the agricultural regions!!!

Now lets hope the catchments get some for the weekend!

Speaking of thunderstorms guys, we had one CG to our due north and thunder at about 6.30pm. So some of that Cu got away. It made me excited thats for sure, but nothing since, though in a way there is a risk tomorrow. The weekend is shining more of a chance for storms with another upper disturbance.

Another 15-30mm across the west again overnight making things very soggy now. Signs of more convective showers moving into C VIC may mean Melbourne could get 5-10mm today.

Great rainfall for struggling towns out west.

Couple of nice cells showing up around central Vic ATM. Short lived but could be some small hail and heavy rain under the odd one.

Just 1.7mm to 9am this morning for us. Also, very mild night with a min of 11.0C.

Nice slow moving line of potential thunderstorms over Western Port Bay (Grantville to San Remo).

Otherwise looking mainly dry across Melbourne for this afternoon.

I do not like the way the weekend is shaping up

Top score so far from those bands is 8mm at Frankston, but they are continuing so could see something in the 10-20mm range. The convergence behind these bands is slowly moving east, but with it now night-time they struggle to continue away from the bay.

Is very frustrating being a Melbournite ATM wth 7 weeks of let downs with all the action to the south or west. Hopefully our time will come.

BTW some very impressive weather ATM over Tassie. 102mm at Gray on the east coast to 9am and heavy falls continuing around Hobart (with widespread fog). Mt Wellington up to 62mm and has rained continuously for near 36 hours (and still going).

Late postscript... curiously EC has the rain associated with the convection continuing through the night across Melbourne and into tomorrow arvo. It has picked the placement well - so maybe we could be in for a surprise from a lingering trough?

Certainly looks unstable atm DJ, and i noticed today that the activity had barely moved from this morning until 4pm this arvo, so i wouldnt think it would clear rapidly. Still talking up some showers tomorrow so i think you might be right, could still see something about the place tomorrow.

I am not so confident. Going on past few days weather, things are not going to kick into gear at all. I saw this sky this afternoon and the convergence was more diurnally induced so I am holding little prospects tonight but maybe a rogue shower tomorrow morning and afternoon.

What a shame!! We cannot take a trick at this point.

Well we had 14.2mm to 9am this morning in the gauge. Otherwise today has been mostly dry, and it really reminded me of the weather up in Cairns, minus the high humidity. This morning there was a line of Cu to our west, but it dissipated through the day actually to my dissapointment. Ah well, we have had some good rain from this event that really was great for some areas, but others missed completley out, although most got something. The lingering trough will trigger convective isolated showers tomorrow, contracting east with the disturbance, otherwise it will be mostly dry.

Well done Jake. Is amazing to see how the west which did so badly late last year/early this year has suddenly had a big turn around.

Another 0.2mm for us - one brief heavy shower at ~7pm. Predictably the showers moved through south Gippsland/Mornington.

Hopefully we squeeze a convective shower today - but looks pretty sparse to me.

Did you manage to get much this system DJ? ^^

4.1mm in the end. Big fizzer.

Down in Sandy Point - south Gippsland ATM. Very wet down here with lots of puddles which suggests there must have been some locally heavy falls here - had 14mm in the gauge.

Thats just horrible. Their must be some rain soon for you guys.