Follow up rain-storms Nov 26-29th.

Moderate to Heavy rain here now, not a lot of lightning a couple of rumbles earlier.

Don't want too much rain right now with all the crops waiting for harvest and possibly downgraded if this continues...

Rain lightening off now as i type... The cell that has raced past Ararat may be a chance for Jake?

Had a few moments of almost heavy rain, looked so good but then back to 'normal'..nice if it keeps going for a while..

Hate to say it but it is definitely weakening through the middle areas now...just hope it can restart itself! It is bloody humid enough.

Lightning tracker showing a major drop in activity now. looks like i may have been right, only a couple of rumbles for me tonightl

nah, i think the lightning tracker has momentary rests, since the static on the radio has not calmed at all

Yep, it's basically all over now for storms. Just a band of general moderate intensity rainfall to come through Melbourne although likely to weaken as it heads east IMO.

This band may be weakening but it is breaking the inversion that has plagued the convective fields today. Once it moves through then we are in a risk for the remainder of the night and into tomorow.

Keep an eye on the activity piggy backing into E SA.

Also I think a second band will fire up closer to Melbourne and this could produce something a little more substantial.

I must say that storm over the Grampians has developed into a nice squall sequence. The potential for destructive straight line winds is high with this.

i thought this system would fizzer out!

It has just started raining lightly here now

Rain very heavy now! And as soon as I post that it goes back to moderate.

Still getting flashes around here... biggest rumbles of the night now. First line almost done though for us here now, only a mm or two i would say.

Well it has hit the arid part of Melbourne so we will wait til it gets here - If I get 25mm its a fizzer

Be glad everyone it is raining!!

EDIT: That line over the western plains is now classified in my books as a dangerous storm system

Also looks to be building again this line..

Yeah reintensifying again, come on!!

I'm sure I just posted here, but it seems to have disappeared! Stawell got around 5mm in 4 minutes.

Sorry Lily and everyone, that may start to happen from time to time... We have crossed over 10000 posts on the site and so it may be about to break!! LOL!!!

Again anyone on that line towards the west, that is a dangerous storm system.

And also for Melbourne, the more active storms may follow the band of thundery rain. Just like the storms to the west, we could also have some chance of seeing some locally severe cells, so not over yet.

As i thought, Geelong area has close thunder and lightning...as what I can see is in that direction. We getting light rain, may get moderate, but thats all here I guess.

No worries Karl, no need to apologise. I'm loving ILS's optimism The air is so wet and heavy, something's gotta give, right?

Winds to 100kmh in the Stawell region and reports coming through from friends of trees down in the region. Some small hail also reported and flash flooding. So tight rainfall gradients likely there..

Looking more and more promising!!!

Just when you think it is all over more flashes and thunder from the NW...rain easing off but more to come i think

Hopefully Lily, but we aren't always lucky!

Feels as though we are due though here anyway! If we don't get something now, there is every chance we will be awoken by pouring rain sometime during the morning anyway!

Keep watching also the northern component of the squall line that is going through the southern part of the western district. There are scattered convective falls developing on the northern side and a more than likely chance of seeing this develop further and spread mainly over the western side of Melbourne.

This has the potential to be more active than this band.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Victoria Regional Office
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING - MELBOURNE AREA
for DAMAGING WIND, FLASH FLOODING and LARGE HAILSTONES

For people in the
Mornington Peninsula and parts of the
Geelong and Bellarine Peninsula,
Port Phillip and
Western Port Local Warning Areas.

Issued at 11:35 pm Friday, 27 November 2009.

The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 11:35 pm, severe thunderstorms were detected on weather radar near Geelong City and Lara. These thunderstorms are moving towards the south to southeast. They are forecast to affect Rosebud, Sorrento and Torquay by 12:05 am and Flinders and Phillip Island by 12:35 am.

Damaging winds, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and large hailstones are likely.

Storms have weakened over the remainder of the metro area, however localised flash flooding is still possible.

Wind gusts of 102km/h were recorded at Mildura Airport at 7.48pm, Charlton 98km/h at 9.33pm.
Charlton recorded 14.4mm in 10 minutes at 9.33pm. Nhill recorded 12mm in 10 minutes at 7.20pm.

Latest Vic STW has extended the warning area right over into Gippsland, we can only hope!

Sweet dreams Amarok

Well, it is developing further now which really has my interest. We're getting heavy patches of rain interspersed with light, interspersed with moderate and now some thunder!, not just rumbles this time a crack of thunder.

Just starting to rain here. Hopefully that second line comes through nicely too.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for DAMAGING WIND, FLASH FLOODING and LARGE HAILSTONES
For people in the North Central, Central and parts of the Northern Country, Wimmera, West and South Gippsland, Western and Alpine Forecast Districts.


Issued at 11:28 pm Friday, 27 November 2009.


Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and large hailstones in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Ballarat, Seymour, Maryborough, Geelong, Melbourne and Moe.