Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  AUSSKY on Thu Sep 03, 2009 8:36 pm

Great pics!!!!! Lucky sod - love the 2nd one btw...

I got this on the way home this afternoon..


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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Fri Sep 04, 2009 5:18 am

Lovely pictures everyone.

Another fairly unstable day today with showers and isolated thunder developing. The warmer it gets the better our chances. It does look more likely about the coast and ranges.

Some pockets of heavy rain were reported to me through Bayswater yesterday with strong winds.
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Fri Sep 04, 2009 6:20 am

Looking at the latest EC and US - it puts us in a fairly showery SSW flow near a low early next week. Could see a few mm ~20mm in E Central and heavier falls further east . One to watch.
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  hillybilly on Fri Sep 04, 2009 6:52 am

Does look pretty messy out there today - though with the main focus for weather on the trough which moves across southern Vic to be near Melbourne early afternoon.

Next weeks is now looking very positive for southern Vic through likely to favour places with a good westerly aspect (like the Otways, Yarra Ranges etc).

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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Fri Sep 04, 2009 6:53 am

Fairly good cloud signatures presently with AccAs above my head and a bit of cj about the ranges to the north and east and some glaciation of a cell due north. All courtesy of me on the roof at work. Wink
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Sniper on Fri Sep 04, 2009 8:00 am

Karl, I wish I could share your same hopes on today. IMO temps will struggle to climb with existing cloud cover, unlike yesterday where we starting in clear skies. Having said that, it should be a damp afternoon.

As for early next week, models were earlier spitting out a low off the coast of NSW, near Eden. Maybe the models are placing the "event" closer to the Gippsland coast.

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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Fri Sep 04, 2009 9:18 am

Surprised confidence is low. Radar showing and increase in showers. All going to plan so far. Rapid increase of cloud due to cold air. Needs to rise 2C then we are there.
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Greg Sorenson on Fri Sep 04, 2009 9:36 am

Thickening up on the western border....Mt.Gambier radar once again having a hissy fit..... i kid you not, our radar system is so far behind the 8-ball atm, it's a joke. Enough of rant. Anyway, some cu becoming more solid overhead which is a good sign. Just need enough breaks in clouds to let things heat up a little and the chances will improve.

Vis sat is looking good.

http://realtime2.bsch.au.com/vis_sat2.html?region=vic&loop=no&images=&allday=&start=&stop=
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Karl Lijnders on Fri Sep 04, 2009 9:38 am

Poured here with small hail for five minutes. Very thundery looking sky here.
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  rikjpool on Fri Sep 04, 2009 9:42 am

Greg, amazing pics as always. I love how you incorporate other things in there to give them scale and perspective and just everything. haha

Got a couple of CU's going up atm here. Dont think it will be quite as big as it was yesterday, and if anything does form, it will once again, be mainly eastern regions. Smile

Sat pic does look rather nice now. I'm stuck in the factory for a while today, only poking my head when i can slip away. So if anything does go bang near Bendigo, someone let me know? Smile
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Sniper on Fri Sep 04, 2009 9:43 am

Karl Lijnders wrote:Poured here with small hail for five minutes. Very thundery looking sky here.

Ok mate, you are onto something. Main query as you mentioned is the temp, but it is looking more likely.

cheers

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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Guest on Fri Sep 04, 2009 9:49 am

Same here Karl had decent hail of 1-1.5cm no thunder as yet.

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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  I_Love_Storms on Fri Sep 04, 2009 9:54 am

Looking good outside...what a great start to Spring. Have to admit, Aug was great as well. Wonder what October and Nov will be like? Dec monsoonal this year?? maybe!!!

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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Australis(Shell3155) on Fri Sep 04, 2009 9:56 am

Very very Black to the south of me
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Lily on Fri Sep 04, 2009 9:56 am

Hailing here cheers

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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Mutley on Fri Sep 04, 2009 9:59 am

My Turn. 60 seconds of rain followed by 30 seconds of Hail. Razz

Sun out now.
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Greg Sorenson on Fri Sep 04, 2009 10:02 am

rikjpool wrote:Greg, amazing pics as always. I love how you incorporate other things in there to give them scale and perspective and just everything. haha

Thanks Rikki, it's been a big push of mine to create context in my weather images. Makes it more accessible to the non- weather public.

Cu to the east is really starting to crisp up. Seems to be an area of convergence in the eastern burbs, winds from nnw meeting northerlies coming over the ranges giving some lift.


Last edited by Greg Sorenson on Fri Sep 04, 2009 10:05 am; edited 1 time in total
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Lily on Fri Sep 04, 2009 10:04 am

Still going and it's just started absolutely BELTING down now! Lots of hail a bit bigger than pea sized but not a huge amount of rain in it.


ROFL, and now it's just stopped.

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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Johnno on Fri Sep 04, 2009 10:28 am

Looks like having the risk of hail today in my offical 7 day forecast for Melbourne yesterday and on and off during the past week is starting to pay off in a few areas. Any reports of thunder guys?

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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Lily on Fri Sep 04, 2009 10:30 am

Not a sound here, Johnno.

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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  rikjpool on Fri Sep 04, 2009 10:48 am

pokes head out roller door... Nice big black base and pouring on the LHS, looking southwest.... Nothing here yet... Smile
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Australis(Shell3155) on Fri Sep 04, 2009 10:55 am

Rain started here in Boronia.
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  norfolk on Fri Sep 04, 2009 10:56 am

nice and sunny and windy, hardly any clouds at all today. Where do I live again?

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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  I_Love_Storms on Fri Sep 04, 2009 10:57 am

The next line looks better, looks like the front

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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

Post  Mosaic on Fri Sep 04, 2009 11:19 am

Quickfire 4mm. No hail, thunder or wind. Looking forward to the front , should hit at a good time.
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Re: Victoria: Springs fronts/lows September 1st-7th 2009

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