Re: Victoria: Thunderstorm Outbreak. October 28th-November 3rd 2009

DC449 Sat Oct 31, 2009 4:32 pm

Getting thicker!

DC449 Sat Oct 31, 2009 4:35 pm

Bit of black aswell

Sniper Sat Oct 31, 2009 4:35 pm

Sheoaks 7mm

**Karl Lijnders** Sat Oct 31, 2009 4:42 pm

Certainly expanding as it comes across. Spectacular sight at the moment with the anvil cutting the sunlight across the sky!!

Expect 5-15mm across Melbourne with this with local hail.

Dez Sat Oct 31, 2009 4:42 pm

I just looked to my west and saw some mammatus and a bit of cc lightning.

**Anthony Violi** Sat Oct 31, 2009 4:42 pm

She is erupting at the right time of day...as Andrew says the dryer air between 800 and 600 has washed out and now humid air is returning and being trigged by the trough/convergence line...another good night coming up!

**Karl Lijnders** Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:01 pm

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING - MELBOURNE AREA
for DAMAGING WIND, FLASH FLOODING and LARGE HAILSTONES

For people in the
Geelong and Bellarine Peninsula,
Port Phillip and parts of the
Western and
Mornington Peninsula Local Warning Areas.

Issued at 7:51 pm Saturday, 31 October 2009.

The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 7:50 pm, severe thunderstorms were detected on weather radar near Lara and Meredith. These thunderstorms are moving towards the east. They are forecast to affect Queenscliff, the area south of Werribee and the area west of Werribee by 8:20 pm and Melton, Rosebud and Werribee by 8:50 pm.

Damaging winds, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and large hailstones are likely.

**Karl Lijnders** Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:05 pm

The complex is strong still - creating it's own outflow with Sheoaks back to NWly and Avalon Wly. So there is hope in this system regenerating further cells as it comes closer to Melbourne. But like last night. Watch the northern flank particularly.

Nearly lightning time!!!

Melbourne Skywalker Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:07 pm

Gee, I disappear for a while & come back to this approaching on the radar! affraid

Dez Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:10 pm

Just got some lightning. Heaps dark now so there should be some good visibility tonight for the light show :>

VRSTORM Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:11 pm

Just had 5mm in about 5 min......

damiantheomen Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:12 pm

sea breeze is back again - noticed it dropped off about 20mins ago and is now up again, hopefully it wont affect the result.......good night for haloween what with the thunder and lightning! affraid

Dane Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:15 pm

Just saw a big cg from that cell to the SW of here.

James Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:17 pm

much much cooler outside all of a sudden....hope this doesnt wreck the storms

droughtbreaker Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:17 pm

Sporadic flashes to the NW so the light show has begun. Really looking quite impressive across the west atm. Hopefully it keeps its strength through central districts as we are at that dodgy time of night when it usually dies off. Hopefully the dynamics of the trough line can keep it going though.

Melbourne Skywalker Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:18 pm

Have a visual on lightning to the South West here.

droughtbreaker Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:20 pm

Does look like it is dying off and contracting also slipping south which is no good for here. Better activity further north where there is much more heat around than here. Bendigo looking like the big winner out of the whole thing, should see some big totals there.

gerta Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:22 pm

An impressive light show going on at the moment to the North of us here in Marong.. Just got the very edge of it..

Dez Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:27 pm

I can see a lot more lightning from tonight's thunderstorm compared to last night's. Pretty much one lightning strike every few seconds. No thunder once again.

AmaroK Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:29 pm

Just at a wedding in frankston,, come outside to a great suprise, lighting and thumder here

droughtbreaker Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:29 pm

Backbuilding and intensifying again. So hard to keep up with the movement and nature of storms they are so unpredictable. Could still get very interesting.

Dez Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:33 pm

droughtbreaker wrote:Backbuilding and intensifying again. So hard to keep up with the movement and nature of storms they are so unpredictable. Could still get very interesting.

Yes, before it seemed like they were splitting up but it looks like it's merging again. I hope it stays in a strong line because rain bands or lines of showers always break up when it hits around melton/melbourne airport.

droughtbreaker Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:34 pm

Flashes every 3 to 4 seconds as the line approaches, very lightning active. Close enough for rumbles now and just starting to spit.

**hillybilly** Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:36 pm

Always tricky but with the extraordinary surface dewpoints and warm land temperatures over central areas suspect this complex will continue for a few hours. Wouldn't be surprised to see it build up as it approached the eastern burbs where the hills tend to increase frictional inflow. Will know within an hour but that is my hunch. This complex is not simply a diurnal storm system that will disappear with the sun..

DC449 Sat Oct 31, 2009 5:37 pm

Nice lightning, although looks like it will go either side of me:(

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