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Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

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Victoria:  Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009. - Page 13 Empty Re: Victoria: Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009.

Post  I_Love_Storms Sat Nov 21, 2009 7:50 pm

Haha nice picture Luken. I hope that you can catch most of the drops!

You guys must be getting belted around, we have been rather lucky so far I guess.

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Post  Sniper Sat Nov 21, 2009 7:51 pm

Oh Luken you poor bugger!!!
Mildura webcam link here http://www.visitmildura.com.au/web-cam.html
Lightning tracker has died off a bit since the last hour, however active cells are beginning to encroach the state. That band is mighty juicy, Western areas are sure to do well..

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Post  Karl Lijnders Sat Nov 21, 2009 7:53 pm

Luke our sun room is reflective of that!!! Your poor thing and you were under the heavy stuff to like me!!!

David thanks for the totals down there, that confirms the conditions I had. You must of had the exact burst of rain about 20 minutes ago which just fanged down. The rain is super thick out there still and reflections on radar are not accurate right now with the atmosphere saturated.

39mm here and steady rainfall. Surprisingly the ground has drunk the flash flooding just like that!!!
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Post  Luken Sat Nov 21, 2009 7:53 pm

Luckily just the sun room. All the expensive stuff is at the other end of the room.
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Post  I_Love_Storms Sat Nov 21, 2009 7:55 pm

Looks to be settling a bit...hopefully you flooded guys get a break for a few hours.

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Post  norfolk Sat Nov 21, 2009 7:55 pm

we have cracked the 20mm mark for here! This is definately more than I expected here!

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Post  I_Love_Storms Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:00 pm

Gee that rain is flying through SA, I don't think it will take too long to get here. I would say the heavy stuff will start here at 5am. What do you guys think?

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Post  Luken Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:01 pm

Looking like it is coming down straight through the Kilmore gap toward here. Hope the towels and buckets last the night!
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Post  Karl Lijnders Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:02 pm

About 4-6am should start to develop over C VIC.

In the meantime this band will flatten out further and slowly contract south introducing NE winds throughout.

Watch the next rainband developing over Woomera back in SA in the shape of thunderstorms. This should stackup onto the back of the rain presently moving through E SA.

Could see 20-40mm in NW VIC and over the Wimmera.
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Post  norfolk Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:03 pm

looks to be a gap now, with more steadier stuff to my east and west, and a little tine narrow corridor of lighter stuff where I am.

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Post  Karl Lijnders Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:05 pm

Heavy burst again here!!!

41mm now and rising...unreal rainfall across parts of the central region tonight. The band is though becoming more general rainfall so the flash flooding risk to me has subsided for the time being.
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Post  AUSSKY Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:10 pm

Clyve's had 48.6mm and I've had 36.8mm 1.2km away!!! amazing falls!
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Post  VRSTORM Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:12 pm

15mm here
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Post  Karl Lijnders Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:12 pm

I knew that I would be coming in second with you guys still under good rainfall there!!! Nice work!! Another 50mm make you happy!! Wink

-----------------------------------

Updated Victoria State Forecast

Issued at 10:28 pm EDT on Saturday 21 November 2009
for the period until midnight EDT Wednesday 25 November 2009.
Warning Summary at issue time

Severe weather warning for damaging winds for the Alpine Areas forecast district.

Severe weather warning for flash flooding for the Alpine Areas, Western, North Central, Northern Country, Wimmera, Mallee, Central, West and South Gippsland and Northeast forecast districts.

Road Weather Alert for Lowered visibility due to heavy rainfall for the Inner, Western, Northern, Eastern and South Eastern suburbs and the Dandenong Ranges.

Gale warning for Victorian waters between Wilsons Promontory and 60nm east of Gabo Island.

Strong wind warning for Victorian waters between SA-VIC Border and Wilsons Promontory.

Strong wind warning is current for Port Phillip.

Strong wind warning is current for Western Port.

Strong wind warning is current for Gippsland Lakes.

Details of warnings are available on the Bureau's website www.bom.gov.au, by telephone 1300-659-217* or through some TV and radio broadcasts.
Weather Situation

A low pressure system is expected to approach the northwest of Victoria later Saturday then pass over the State early Sunday to reach the southern Tasman Sea by Sunday afternoon. A high pressure ridge will extend over Victoria later Sunday associated with a high that will move over the Bight on Monday and then move across the State on Tuesday.
Forecast for the rest of Saturday

Rain with heavy falls, producing localised flash flooding, mainly in northern and central parts. Local thunderstorms in the north. Humid with light to moderate variable winds.
Forecast for Sunday

Rain with heavy falls and localised flash flooding, contracting to the east by the afternoon and clearing. Isolated showers to follow on and south of the ranges. Isolated thunderstorms over the north during the morning. A cool to mild day with moderate west to southwesterly winds extending throughout during the morning, fresh to locally strong at times near the coast.

Forest Fire Danger: Low to Moderate

Grassland Fire Danger: Low to Moderate
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Post  I_Love_Storms Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:14 pm

Hardly had a drop here in Lilydale still...hmmm

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Post  Mutley Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:25 pm

OMG, I am in shock. affraid Went out for tea tonight. Left with nothing in the tank and only moments ago returned to 28mm. Great falls around this part of the world with a number above 25mm being recorded @ 11pm.
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Post  Karl Lijnders Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:26 pm

Thats amazing!!! Only 21mm being the highest for the year...my goodness that is bad.. well let us hope we can make it 40mm by 9am.

Rain has eased to drizzle here as we prepare for thundery rain in the west. Orange and red cells within the band...
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Post  dagget Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:30 pm

AUSSKY wrote:Clyve's had 48.6mm and I've had 36.8mm 1.2km away!!! amazing falls!

Sounds pretty good, hardly anything here in woodend <5mm so far

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Post  droughtbreaker Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:31 pm

3.6mm at Rosslynne Reservoir, 54mm at Bullengarook. Here are these totals displayed on Google Earth. Just 10km between these two locations. Talk about isolated rainfall. Rolling Eyes

Victoria:  Broad area of low pressure - November 19th-25th 2009. - Page 13 Extremely%20localised%20rainfall

Similarly we've got about 5.5mm here and apparently 14mm at Mount Macedon MW station. Evil or Very Mad I tell you what, the main rain better come overnight or I'll be absolutely shattered. Probably won't be able to post for a while I'll be so upset. This rain we are supposed to get is so important to us after the crazy record breaking heatwave and right on the edge of the official summer period with the bushfire season starting. Also still heading towards the driest year on record or at least very close if December rain fails.

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Post  Petros Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:33 pm

David wrote:Up to 33.5mm with steady rain falling, wouldn't be surprised to see 60mm out here for this event.

Edit: sorry make that 34.5mm

Dosent mean much since we dont know where you are recording this David. Smile
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Post  Karl Lijnders Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:35 pm

He has mentioned many times that he is from Endeavour Hills.

Andrew that is a great map thanks for posting that up. Love that we can do that on this forum!!!

Drizzle still falling here and NE winds starting so now we wait for the ever expanding band of thundery rain. Very lightning active in Mildura right now.
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Post  norfolk Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:43 pm

well looks like the heaviest rain has now moved to the south, with only light drizzle to the north. All up I have 22.4mm so far which is amazing! I am sure this will increase further overnight, but I am tired and am going to bed!
For those interested in following the rainfall here....check this site! It's great for our little area!
http://www.csweather.net/index.php?refresh=0

Tony

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Post  Petros Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:44 pm

Sorry Karl - havent got your memory.

Light rain persisting here.
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Post  droughtbreaker Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:46 pm

I'll be happy with 20mm now. Hopes for more than that have been dashed I reckon. 20mm would at least moisten things up again and maybe another event next week. Seriously, weather can make you go crazy sometimes, it is so fickle around here.

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Post  Karl Lijnders Sat Nov 21, 2009 8:47 pm

Thats what I am here for Smile

Interesting that I have teaming rainfall again from a shower band only 1km wide sliding over the region Smile
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