Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Karl Lijnders on Mon Sep 07, 2009 9:09 am

As for the models being less interested, all models were for Friday just gone when we picked up 5-10mm over much of east Melbourne and into the eastern half of the state. So spring can surprise.

I am too a little skeptical over the rain situation however have learnt to let things pan out, looking at the radar the rain and showers are increasing thanks to the diurnal heating. This should thicken up and cross Melbourne this afternoon with the chance of a few rumbles.

Quite a nice storm starting to developing S of Buller.
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Sniper on Mon Sep 07, 2009 9:39 am

Solid 5 min shower in CBD, which has now passed.

Have a good gut feel about this afternoon.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Guest on Mon Sep 07, 2009 9:50 am

I like these sorts of days, slow moving showers which can produce locally usefull falls.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  hillybilly on Mon Sep 07, 2009 9:56 am

LAPS and MLAPS are similar to EC This won't be big, but certainly areas with SW aspect should do well.

1.4mm in the CBD in quick time and radar starting to fill in nicely.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Karl Lijnders on Mon Sep 07, 2009 9:59 am

Sky has completely changed here. Plenty of fresh cj and turkeys with the odd CB to the south and southwest sky. Decaying shower to my west and southwest (immediate) and plenty of cu developing.

I think the next 1-2hrs should see things develop smartly. Quite dark to my NW.
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Karl Lijnders on Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:03 am

Yes quite right DJ. I think it is going to be rather restrictive to the eastern side of Melbourne post tonight. A very tight rainfall gradient is likely starting from about Glen Waverly- Doncaster eastwards into the hills.
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Melbourne Skywalker on Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:25 am

Just started raining here in Sunshine, quite heavy too.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Johnno on Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:35 am

Been raining on and off here since 1145am

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Jase72 on Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:40 am

it is very dark and gloomy outside here. Looking west in the CBD.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Australis(Shell3155) on Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:42 am

.5mm overnight. ground has just become wet here.
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  rikjpool on Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:48 am

Been streaming showers through here for the last 2 hours. Nothing noteworthy. Can't see storms this afternoon though.
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Greg Sorenson on Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:50 am

Line of Cu to my west, starting to become better organized. Cloud def thickening.
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Johnno on Mon Sep 07, 2009 10:56 am

2mm here today so far. Takes me 7mm for the month.

Had 42mm here in August.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Karl Lijnders on Mon Sep 07, 2009 11:19 am

Seems to be raining from two levels in the atmosphere. Judging by radar anyway.

Winds are SW in the bay but NE in Geelong so I am not sure what is happening, possibly a few short waves coming through.

Getting more thundery at the moment.

1mm here so far with rain starting again.
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Melbourne Skywalker on Mon Sep 07, 2009 11:32 am

Started again here, looks like it will be on and off here for the rest of the afternoon. Should pick up a few mm's out of this. Rain is quite heavy atm.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  AUSSKY on Mon Sep 07, 2009 11:51 am

Have been watching that cell to the west of Melbourne - just rang Clyve (in Newport) - he suggested that waterspouts today might not be a surprise with the trough coming through - interesting lowering......
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Karl Lijnders on Mon Sep 07, 2009 11:55 am

Plenty of showers with only a few echoes suggesting thunderstorm status.

5mm in Geelong and 3mm at Avalon so far. Just had another shower here but the best just to my east and southeast,

Fingers crossed for more organisation.
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Melbourne Skywalker on Mon Sep 07, 2009 11:56 am

Sun popping out here, have a feeling we might be in for a bit of thunder sometime during the rest of the afternoon.

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Re: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Scott Lawrance on Mon Sep 07, 2009 11:58 am

By the look of the trajectory on the radar it might make to north central areas this afternoon.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Proteous on Mon Sep 07, 2009 11:59 am

Had a couple of distant rumbles here but no rain as yet. Temp. dropped from 19 to 16 with showers in the area.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Karl Lijnders on Mon Sep 07, 2009 12:03 pm

Some signs of that storm near Orbost being severe moving against the general flow of precip. Almost hugging the coast. Some damaging winds in that for sure.
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  firestorm on Mon Sep 07, 2009 12:06 pm

6.4mm til 9am nothing since then! Mainly overcast outside with a very light E/SE breeze.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Johnno on Mon Sep 07, 2009 1:10 pm

Any rain over the City at the moment? Looks like a nice deep rain curtain over there as I write this. Little shower passing through here as well.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Blackie on Mon Sep 07, 2009 1:18 pm

yes John moderate showers here just south of the city for the last 15 mins or so. Has been quite showery all morning here

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Johnno on Mon Sep 07, 2009 1:22 pm

For such an active day today very little talk in here must not be much action in the Eastern suburbs today Laughing Up to 2mm here with that little so called shower taking me to 4mm for the day. Light southerly wind here as well which is the 1st southerly wind I have seen around this area in at least 6 weeks


EDIT: Thanks Blackie for confirming that

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

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