Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Sniper on Mon Sep 07, 2009 1:26 pm

Johnno, we experienced another 5min shower in CBD.

Sun out now, a bit of heating before the next shower. Slow day!!

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  DC449 on Mon Sep 07, 2009 1:26 pm

Im in the SE burbs, nothing much to report here
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Re: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Scott Lawrance on Mon Sep 07, 2009 1:26 pm

Just keeping an eye on the radar Johnno to see if Yea gets a bit.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Greg Sorenson on Mon Sep 07, 2009 1:27 pm

Dark contrast atm with the cell just going over the city, esp with the sun out. Storm development is just around the corner.
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Melbourne Skywalker on Mon Sep 07, 2009 1:45 pm

I'm keeping an eye on that little line coming up from the south west, might get something from that. It's been on and off all day here, lots of little showers. Probably about 2mm in total.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Luken on Mon Sep 07, 2009 1:47 pm

Just got back from a drive back up Eastlink from Dandenong. Few nice rain curtains out the NW, and plenty of deveopment between Eastlink and the Dandenongs, but only light showers experienced.

Looks good for some more rainfall around here once the low moves more to the East.
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Johnno on Mon Sep 07, 2009 2:01 pm

Yeah that stuff West of Werribee looks juciy its really steaming up must be close to Thunderstorm status that might just go North of us though they seem to be heading more NE now these cells/showers

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Melbourne Skywalker on Mon Sep 07, 2009 2:06 pm

It is certainly looking good that little cell moving up near Werribee, slight chance of driving home right in the middle of it too. I guess we will see what happens.

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Re: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Scott Lawrance on Mon Sep 07, 2009 2:13 pm

I think I can forget about these showers hitting the farm - they are disappearing as the head north.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  James on Mon Sep 07, 2009 2:35 pm

dont think we will see any thunderstorm development here today, so far just light showers barely enough to wet the ground much

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Karl Lijnders on Mon Sep 07, 2009 2:55 pm

Yeah it is pretty much all over. As for rain developing well you can scrap that too. Just a few showers now in a SW stream. Maybe 5-10mm if we are lucky.

Don't know about even 20mm in the hills now.
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Re: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Scott Lawrance on Mon Sep 07, 2009 2:58 pm

Yes - disappearing as quickly as it appeared.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  mick on Mon Sep 07, 2009 4:25 pm

A band of really bubbly low clouds moved in late this arvo, with the sheet of grey above them and the angle of the sun they looked brilliant. Most unusual in that I havent seen this effect before. I spose they were accas, some of them had a brown tinge to the edges. I wonder if this was dirt or just the light, but it was quite visible.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  I_Love_Storms on Mon Sep 07, 2009 4:26 pm

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR663.loop.shtml#skip

Check out the Brisbane radar, some big storms

Also, check out the lightning tracker:

http://info.energex.com.au/tracker/asp/lightningtracker.asp

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Dane on Mon Sep 07, 2009 5:09 pm

2mm's overnight here but nothing at all today, all those showers were confined to the west and north very little or nothing in southern and SE suburbs. Been doing a good job of dodging the showers this month only 6mm's so far.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  norfolk on Mon Sep 07, 2009 5:15 pm

got some nice heavy showers this afternoon which was nice to see. it is also so good to see wet roads and gardens, which was a rare thing to see throughout the entire winter!

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  hillybilly on Mon Sep 07, 2009 5:41 pm

Yeah it is pretty much all over.

I reckon we are far to quick to write the system off. EC and GFS both show widespread 10-30mm falls the next 48 hours increasing to 50mm+ in parts. The low has only just started to spin up and the cyclonic southwesterlies haven't yet established.

Today's showers were associated with the passage of the old upper cold pool. The main event for Melbourne and southern areas is the southwesterly showers/rain that is expected to wrap around the developing low.

If it all goes to plan showers should thicken up across southern areas the next 12 hours (signs are that this is already happening) and become heavy and persistent by morning - worth taking a look at http://www.yr.no/place/Australia/Victoria/Mount_Dandenong/hour_by_hour.html to see the hour by hour sequence. Still expect 20-40mm up here (so far the total is 2mm Rolling Eyes ).

We are now seeing some good falls develop in Gippsland and it's started to rain about the Otways.

Certainly will know by morning if this has dudded...

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Johnno on Mon Sep 07, 2009 6:08 pm

No dud here DJ I did say last week if I got 5mm I'll be OK with that given I am at 4mm already with bit more to come I am already fairly satisfied with that. The eqiuvalent of my 4mm would be 10-12mm for you and Karl I would say so I'll take this so far so good.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  droughtbreaker on Mon Sep 07, 2009 6:35 pm

2.5mm overnight, 3.0mm today. 5.5mm all up.

Looks like all the action today was west of the city for a change.

Not looking forward to yet another major SW wind rain event. Rolling Eyes Wake me up when the next system comes through, hopefully it will still be this month. Rolling Eyes What do we have to do to get a S or S/SW airflow down here. I'm starting to think it will never happen again, there is a huge bias towards SW winds these days here in VIC when the wind does change to the south.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Power Storm on Mon Sep 07, 2009 6:54 pm

Showers on and off here, mostly this afternoon and evening. 8.6mm to 9am this morning. Interesting developments this afternoon, but most activity restricted to eastern parts.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Johnno on Mon Sep 07, 2009 7:03 pm

I think the next 24 hrs will be S/SW Andrew before tending more SW Wednesday

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Dez on Mon Sep 07, 2009 8:36 pm

As mentioned before, Queensland got a very nice pelting today.

I had a few heavy showers, was expecting a bit more but I am in the rain circle so I wouldn't be surprised if I missed a lot of the rain.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  Karl Lijnders on Mon Sep 07, 2009 9:44 pm

Yeah not a great deal about so not holding out for much.

A few showers with some possible hail and thunder about tomorrow.
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Re: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  tizza on Tue Sep 08, 2009 4:51 am

well I've woken to a nice shower, nice way to start the day.
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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

Post  hillybilly on Tue Sep 08, 2009 5:20 am

Some thumping showers coming up across the Bay at the moment with a particularly impressive Cb going right over the CBD. Would be surprised if it is not throwing down some hail. Best fall so far about the metro area is Mt Macedon with 12mm, while Baw Baw is up to 18mm.

Frustrating out east ATM with the flow slightly to south for us... just 1.6mm overnight in Ferny Creek Rolling Eyes

Looks like a nice wet 36 hours - should see showers thicken up during the day as we switch towards warm air advection and the flow tends slightly more westerly.

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Re: Victoria: Southeast Low 6-10 September

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