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Victoria: Record Warm/Severe Cold Front August 15th-August 17th 2009

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Alexia
Blackie
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Karl Lijnders
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Victoria: Record Warm/Severe Cold Front August 15th-August 17th 2009 - Page 5 Empty Re: Victoria: Record Warm/Severe Cold Front August 15th-August 17th 2009

Post  mick Sun Aug 16, 2009 9:34 am

Doppler wind shows the line in the bay really well, I might get lucky.

mick

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Post  I_Love_Storms Sun Aug 16, 2009 9:36 am

Definitely a squall line. Mornington looks to be taking the brunt at the moment.

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Post  droughtbreaker Sun Aug 16, 2009 9:36 am

14mm here just a moment ago but a bit more rain since then so maybe another mm or so. Not too bad at all and still a bit of activity to come by the looks of things.

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Post  droughtbreaker Sun Aug 16, 2009 9:43 am

That line centred on Mornington atm looks like a near stationary line of convergence between the approaching westerlies and the current N/NW.

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Post  DarkEye Sun Aug 16, 2009 9:54 am

Dear lord did the pillars of heaven shake last night.

Wild winds, heavy rain, thunder and lightning made it very difficult to sleep, hopefully today and tonight is slightly calmer.
DarkEye
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Post  I_Love_Storms Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:02 am

As at 11:50am BOM website:

Forecast for the rest of Sunday

Cloudy. Areas of rain, easing to isolated showers during the afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms in the early afternoon. Winds west to northwesterly averaging up to 55 km/h decreasing below 40 km/h by early evening.
City
Windy. A little rain, storms.
Max
16


A revision downwards from an earlier expected 21 haha

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Post  Karl Lijnders Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:03 am

Had a very good burst of thundery rain with high winds at 11am that lasted about half hour. Now light rain. Winds have eased.

Awaiting the WNW change which will be accompanied by a burst of heavy rain and strong winds.

Then the coldies.
Karl Lijnders
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Post  I_Love_Storms Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:06 am

You are lucky Karl. Nothing like that here in Lilydale. Maybe 10-20 minutes worth of light to moderate rain with the odd big gust but I don't think we have had thunder yet. What do you think this afternoon and evening hold? Do you think there still the prospect for storms with locally destructive wind gusts and torrential-type downpours?

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Post  Karl Lijnders Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:08 am

I expect a few showers and the chance of a thunderstorm with hail to continue this afternoon before easing overnight. Maybe up to 5mm further across the Melbourne region.
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Post  James Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:14 am

nothing much here just dark and light drizzle, no thunder or anything exciting...although strong winds overnight and this morning its calmed for now

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Post  quasar217 Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:24 am

So far just enough to wet the ground here in Ringwood. Neighbours are working outside doing the gardening and not getting too wet!

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Post  droughtbreaker Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:28 am

Up to 20.4mm now. Looking towards an inch if things go well this afternoon.

Back to a nice cold 8.4C. It just scraped above 10C earlier this morning.

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Post  Dez Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:30 am

Had quite heavy rain this morning. Another band is hitting again. I hope there's more to come this afternoon.

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Post  I_Love_Storms Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:33 am

Changing the topic slightly, what is everyone's thoughts for Wednesday/Thursday? Will it be very similar to what we have seen yesterday/today in terms of temps, wind and rainfall?

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Post  Karl Lijnders Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:40 am

ILS - There will be an influx of NW moisture... How much is uncertain but we could see a reasonable rainband develop with isolated thunderstorms. Looks windy and warm also.

Squally rain here presently, really monsoonal at times. Eased back again but some gusts getting closer to 45 knots with every burst.

3.8mm so far here.
Karl Lijnders
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Post  floydlove Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:50 am

Wild night here as well, hard to sleep at times with the winds pounding the windows and roof with bursts of heavy showers making it very hard to stay asleep. Good to see the radar so active though. There's a few cranes around here that created that howling affect similar to the mountains. Quite strange.

Don't think we've had too much here in terms of rainfall, perhaps a few mm. Hopefully some heavy showers to come.

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Post  I_Love_Storms Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:52 am

Good drop here now, would have to be at least a couple of mill.

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Post  Karl Lijnders Sun Aug 16, 2009 10:55 am

Absolutely teaming down here the last 10 minutes. Would be 3-4mm in that easily. Backed off a bit but still steady.
Karl Lijnders
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Post  dagget Sun Aug 16, 2009 11:05 am

Judging by the radar, thats look about it for us for now...total of 21mm and 9 degrees here.

Edit: now the sun is coming out..just after I dropped a load of fertilzer in the garden Evil or Very Mad

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Post  Mantis Sun Aug 16, 2009 11:25 am

2.5mm here this morning but its just started again with a squally rain shower

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Post  Blackie Sun Aug 16, 2009 11:35 am

nice totals for Andrew and other in central ranges. In Mansfield we've had 12mm. That cold air field looks great to our west. Could someone explain why this isn't likely to reach us with rain.

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Post  Karl Lijnders Sun Aug 16, 2009 11:39 am

Finished with a healthy 9mm here out of the rainband which is a very big surprise. The rainfall was heavy off and on for about 2hrs here. Similar to what you have had along the ranges there guys.

Now pressure is falling smartly ahead of the next trough and cold air field. A good chance of seeing a line of thunderstorms and strong winds as the coldest air moves into region. N winds are developing but 1/3 the strength as before.
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Post  droughtbreaker Sun Aug 16, 2009 11:47 am

I'd say we've just passed into the colder air now and the sky is just starting to take on that 'coldie' look about it with a few sunny breaks but Cu developing.

Will be interesting this evening.

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Post  SC Sun Aug 16, 2009 1:05 pm

Had 5mm here, no major damage around the place. Highest gust was 76kph.
SC
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Post  Madmel Sun Aug 16, 2009 1:14 pm

My goodness did the wind make the house shake this morning! Shocked Though it was a pretty wild windy night. Collected about 5mm of rain when the change came through.

Impressive thunderheads this morning when I went to work though they seemed to sway away from here. Monsters they were Very Happy

Sun is out still windy, lets see what happens tonigth

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